Tyrese Haliburton delivers exceptional assist production on one day of rest, hitting the over in 58.1% of games (25-18-0) while averaging 11.21 assists against a 10.85 line. This +0.4 differential generates an impressive +11.0% ROI on overs. Strong lean over.
Expert Analysis
Tyrese Haliburton's assist production becomes notably more potent with exactly one day of rest, a pattern that reflects both physical and tactical advantages. The 11.21 average against a 10.85 line represents meaningful value, particularly given the consistency shown across 43 games spanning over a year. This isn't a small sample fluke—it's a sustainable edge rooted in how rest impacts Haliburton's court vision and energy levels. The Pacers' pace-heavy system benefits enormously when their primary facilitator is operating at peak efficiency, which clearly occurs after optimal recovery time. What makes this trend particularly compelling is the stark contrast in ROI between overs (+11.0%) and unders (-20.1%), suggesting the market consistently undervalues Haliburton's assist ceiling in this specific rest scenario. The 58.1% hit rate provides solid frequency while the average differential offers consistent value. With Haliburton currently riding a two-game over streak and historically showing strong over runs (longest: 6 games), the momentum aligns with the underlying data. The absence of concerning regression patterns or situational red flags strengthens the case for continued over production.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Haliburton's 11.21 assist average on one day rest consistently exceeds market expectations, creating sustainable value despite the modest +0.4 differential. The 58.1% hit rate provides reliable frequency while the +11.0% ROI demonstrates long-term profitability. Target this spot when Haliburton is well-rested and the Pacers are playing at their preferred uptempo pace. Main risk is potential line adjustments if books recognize this pattern.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-06 | OPP | 10.5 | 14.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2025-04-02 | OPP | 9.5 | 10.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-29 | OPP | 9.5 | 3.0 | -6.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-16 | OPP | 8.5 | 8.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-10 | OPP | 8.5 | 14.0 | +5.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 10.5 | 13.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 10.5 | 8.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-05 | OPP | 10.5 | 11.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-03 | OPP | 10.5 | 8.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 11.5 | 8.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 11.5 | 5.0 | -6.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-24 | OPP | 10.5 | 10.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-22 | OPP | 10.5 | 11.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-20 | OPP | 10.5 | 9.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-18 | OPP | 10.5 | 12.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Tyrese Haliburton's Assists prop record 1 day rest?
Haliburton's assist prop record on one day rest is 25-18-0 over/under, hitting the over 58.1% of the time across 43 games. This represents a solid edge over typical 50/50 expectations with consistent profitability.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Tyrese Haliburton Assists 1 day rest?
Bet the over on Haliburton's assists with one day rest. His 11.21 average exceeds the typical 10.85 line while generating +11.0% ROI. The 58.1% hit rate provides reliable frequency for sustained profits.
What's Tyrese Haliburton's average Assists 1 day rest?
Haliburton averages 11.21 assists on one day rest compared to his typical 10.85 line, creating a +0.4 differential. This consistent edge has proven profitable across 43 games spanning over a year of data.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Haliburton assist overs specifically on one day rest when the Pacers play uptempo games. Avoid back-to-backs or extended rest periods where this specific advantage diminishes significantly based on available data patterns.