Tre Jones has hit under 0.5 three-pointers made in 55% of away games this season, posting a 9-11 over/under record with a -14.1% ROI on overs. His 0.8 average exceeds the typical 0.5 line, but the under trend shows consistent value with +5.0% returns.
Expert Analysis
The underlying numbers reveal a classic case where surface-level averages mask profitable betting opportunities. Jones averages 0.8 three-pointers made on the road, which naturally pushes his line to 0.5 or higher, yet he's failed to reach that threshold in 55% of contests. This disconnect stems from his role as a pass-first point guard who takes threes opportunistically rather than systematically. Away games amplify this tendency as the Spurs often face tougher defensive schemes that limit secondary scoring opportunities. The 20-game sample provides solid statistical foundation, and the +5.0% ROI on unders demonstrates genuine market inefficiency. Jones's three-point attempts fluctuate wildly based on game flow and San Antonio's offensive needs, making the under a consistently viable play. His recent form shows one consecutive under, breaking a modest three-game over streak, suggesting natural regression toward his more conservative shooting approach. The key factor driving this edge is that sportsbooks price his line based on season averages rather than his actual road tendencies, where defensive pressure and unfamiliar environments consistently reduce his three-point volume and accuracy.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 55% under rate combined with positive ROI creates a sustainable edge despite Jones exceeding his typical 0.5 line on average. The strongest plays come when the line sits at 0.5, where his pass-first mentality and road shooting struggles provide consistent value. Main risk is variance in a small sample, but the underlying role-based factors support continued under performance.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-05 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 3.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-23 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-08 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Tre Jones's 3-Pointers Made prop record away games?
Tre Jones has gone 9-11 on three-pointers made overs in away games, hitting the over just 45% of the time. This translates to 11 unders versus 9 overs across 20 road contests, showing consistent under performance despite averaging 0.8 makes per game.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Tre Jones 3-Pointers Made away games?
Bet the under on Jones's three-pointers made in away games. The 55% under rate with +5.0% ROI provides clear value, especially when the line sits at 0.5. His pass-first role and road shooting struggles create a sustainable edge for under bettors.
What's Tre Jones's average 3-Pointers Made away games?
Jones averages 0.8 three-pointers made in away games, which exceeds the typical 0.5 line by 0.3. However, this average is inflated by occasional multi-three performances, while he more consistently fails to reach even the modest 0.5 threshold in road environments.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Jones's three-point unders when San Antonio plays defensively-focused road opponents and the line sits at 0.5. Avoid when facing pace-up teams or when the Spurs are significant underdogs, as garbage time could inflate his attempts and makes.