Trae Young's blocks prop at home presents a clear under opportunity with just 30.0% overs hitting across 20 games. Young averages only 0.35 blocks per home game against a 0.5 line, creating a -0.15 differential that has generated +33.6% ROI on unders. The trend shows remarkable consistency with four straight unders currently active.
Expert Analysis
The blocks under for Trae Young at home represents one of the most reliable trends in player props, rooted in fundamental basketball realities. Young stands 6'1" and weighs 164 pounds, making him one of the smallest players in the NBA. His defensive positioning prioritizes staying in front of ball handlers rather than rotating for help defense where blocks typically occur. At home, Young's offensive responsibilities increase as the primary facilitator, keeping him engaged on that end rather than gambling for defensive plays. The 0.35 average against a 0.5 line creates meaningful value, as Young needs to record at least one block to hit the over. His career block rate of 0.4% ranks among the lowest for regular rotation players. The current four-game under streak isn't an anomaly but rather the expected outcome given his physical limitations and role. Home games actually work against Young's block chances, as the Hawks' improved offensive flow reduces transition opportunities where guards occasionally pick up blocks. The -42.7% ROI on overs tells the complete story - this line consistently overestimates Young's shot-blocking ability, particularly in the comfort of home games where his offensive focus peaks.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Trae Young's physical limitations and offensive-focused role make 0.5 blocks a challenging threshold at home, where he's averaging just 0.35 per game. The 70% under rate across 20 games reflects fundamental basketball realities rather than temporary variance. Target this prop when available, as Young's size and defensive positioning create a sustainable edge. The primary risk is garbage time situations in blowouts, but even then, Young rarely hunts for blocks given his frame.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-02-23 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-05 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-02 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-28 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-26 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-17 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-15 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-13 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-23 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Trae Young's Blocks prop record home games?
Trae Young's blocks prop has gone under in 14 of 20 home games (70% under rate) with a 6-14-0 over/under record. He averages just 0.35 blocks per home game against the typical 0.5 line, creating consistent value on unders.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Trae Young Blocks home games?
Bet under on Trae Young's blocks at home games. His 70% under rate and +33.6% ROI on unders reflects his physical limitations and offensive-focused role. The trend shows remarkable consistency with four straight unders currently active.
What's Trae Young's average Blocks home games?
Trae Young averages 0.35 blocks per home game, falling 0.15 short of the standard 0.5 line. This differential has created a 70% under rate across 20 games, making the under a consistent value play.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Trae Young blocks unders in any home game when the line is set at 0.5. Avoid in potential blowout scenarios where garbage time might inflate stats, though Young rarely hunts blocks even then given his size limitations.