Trae Young's assists prop has delivered exceptional value over his last 10 games, hitting the over in 7 of 10 contests (70%) while averaging 12.0 assists against an 11.2 line. The +33.6% ROI on overs signals a legitimate edge worth exploiting.
Expert Analysis
Young's recent assists surge stems from Atlanta's increased pace and his expanded role as the primary facilitator in their revamped offensive system. The 12.0 average represents a significant 0.8 assist bump above typical lines, suggesting books haven't fully adjusted to his enhanced playmaking responsibilities. His current three-game over streak aligns with the Hawks' improved ball movement, where Young is finding teammates in better scoring positions. The 70% over rate across 10 games provides substantial sample size confidence, especially when considering Young's natural passing instincts and the team's commitment to faster possessions. However, regression risk exists if opposing defenses begin doubling Young more aggressively or if Atlanta's pace normalizes. The lack of detailed split data prevents deeper situational analysis, but Young's consistency in exceeding expectations suggests this isn't merely hot shooting variance from teammates. His assist numbers have historically been sticky once elevated, making this trend more sustainable than typical statistical anomalies. The key concern remains whether books will adjust lines upward, potentially eliminating the current value edge that's generated such strong returns.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Young's 70% over rate and +0.8 differential above lines creates clear value, especially with his current three-game streak showing no signs of regression. Target overs when Atlanta faces up-tempo opponents or teams allowing high assist rates. Main risk is line adjustment as books catch up to his elevated playmaking role.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-06 | OPP | 12.5 | 15.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2025-04-02 | OPP | 11.5 | 12.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-25 | OPP | 9.5 | 12.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-22 | OPP | 10.5 | 10.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-18 | OPP | 11.5 | 8.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-16 | OPP | 11.5 | 12.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-12 | OPP | 11.5 | 12.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-08 | OPP | 11.5 | 8.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-06 | OPP | 11.5 | 16.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-03 | OPP | 10.5 | 15.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Assists Prop Lines
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Trae Young's Assists prop record last 10 games?
Trae Young has hit the assists over in 7 of his last 10 games for a 70% success rate. He's averaging 12.0 assists against typical lines of 11.2, creating a consistent +0.8 edge that's generated +33.6% ROI on overs.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Trae Young Assists last 10 games?
Bet the over on Trae Young's assists. His 70% over rate and +0.8 average differential above lines creates clear value. He's currently on a three-game over streak with no signs of regression in Atlanta's improved offensive system.
What's Trae Young's average Assists last 10 games?
Trae Young is averaging 12.0 assists over his last 10 games compared to typical lines around 11.2. This +0.8 differential represents significant value, as he's consistently exceeding expectations in his expanded facilitator role with the Hawks.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Trae Young assists overs when Atlanta faces high-pace teams or opponents allowing elevated assist rates. His props offer best value early in betting cycles before books adjust lines to match his current 12.0 average performance level.