Trae Young's assists prop in away games presents one of the season's most reliable edges, hitting overs at a 68.6% clip (24-11 record) with a +30.9% ROI. Young averages 11.34 assists on the road against lines typically set around 10.39, creating consistent value. This is a strong lean over with medium-high confidence.
Expert Analysis
The numbers reveal a systematic undervaluation of Trae Young's road playmaking ability. His 11.34 assist average away from State Farm Arena consistently outpaces the 10.39 average line, creating nearly a full assist of value per game. This isn't random variance—Young's road assist production reflects the heightened pace and defensive adjustments teams make against Atlanta away from home. Road games often feature more transition opportunities and less familiarity with defensive schemes, both factors that favor elite passers like Young. The 68.6% over rate across 35 games provides substantial sample size confidence, while the impressive +30.9% ROI demonstrates this isn't just a winning trend but a profitable one. Young's current two-game over streak aligns with his season-long pattern, having recorded a maximum nine-game over run compared to just three consecutive unders. The consistency is remarkable—books appear slow to adjust their road assist lines for Young, potentially because his home/road assist splits aren't as pronounced in public perception as they are in reality. This creates a sustainable edge that shows little sign of regression, particularly given Young's role as Atlanta's primary facilitator remains unchanged regardless of venue.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM-HIGH confidence. The 68.6% hit rate combined with nearly a full assist of positive differential creates compelling value on Trae Young's road assists props. Target this bet when lines sit at 10.5 or lower for maximum edge. The primary risk is potential line adjustment as books recognize this pattern, but current market inefficiency suggests continued profitability in the near term.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-02 | OPP | 11.5 | 12.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-25 | OPP | 9.5 | 12.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-18 | OPP | 11.5 | 8.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-16 | OPP | 11.5 | 12.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-03 | OPP | 10.5 | 15.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2025-02-08 | OPP | 10.5 | 14.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2025-02-03 | OPP | 9.5 | 9.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-02-01 | OPP | 10.5 | 17.0 | +6.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-18 | OPP | 9.5 | 11.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-01 | OPP | 11.5 | 9.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-29 | OPP | 11.5 | 10.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-19 | OPP | 11.5 | 16.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-30 | OPP | 11.5 | 5.0 | -6.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-08 | OPP | 9.5 | 13.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-14 | OPP | 10.5 | 12.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Assists Prop Lines
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Trae Young's Assists prop record away games?
Trae Young's assists prop record in away games is exceptional at 24-11 for overs, translating to a 68.6% success rate. This represents one of the most consistent player prop edges available, with only 11 unders across 35 road contests.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Trae Young Assists away games?
Bet over on Trae Young's assists in away games. The 68.6% over rate and +30.9% ROI provide strong mathematical support. Target lines at 10.5 or lower for optimal value, as Young averages 11.34 assists on the road.
What's Trae Young's average Assists away games?
Trae Young averages 11.34 assists in away games, nearly a full assist above the typical line of 10.39. This consistent differential of approximately +1.0 per game creates reliable betting value and explains the strong over performance.
How reliable is this trend?
The best time to bet Trae Young's assists props is during away games when lines are set at 10.5 or lower. Road contests provide the optimal conditions where his 11.34 average significantly exceeds typical market expectations.