Fade UNDER
20-36 O/U Record
35.7% Over Rate
-17.8u Units Won
-31.8% ROI
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Stephen Curry's blocks prop presents a clear under opportunity with just 35.7% overs hitting across 56 games. The Warriors superstar averages 0.45 blocks against a 0.5 line, creating consistent value on the under with +22.7% ROI versus -31.8% on overs.

Expert Analysis

Stephen Curry's blocks trend reflects the fundamental reality of his defensive role and physical limitations. At 6'2" and primarily guarding perimeter players, Curry rarely finds himself in shot-blocking situations. His 0.45 blocks per game average consistently falls short of the standard 0.5 line, creating a sustainable edge for under bettors. The 35.7% over rate across 56 games isn't a fluke—it's a mathematical reflection of Curry's defensive positioning and responsibilities. As Golden State's primary offensive initiator, Curry conserves energy on defense, focusing on steals and deflections rather than rim protection. His longest under streak of six games demonstrates how consistently he fails to reach the blocks threshold. The Warriors' defensive scheme rarely asks Curry to help at the rim, instead relying on Draymond Green and their frontcourt for interior defense. This role specialization means Curry's block production lacks the variance seen in forwards or centers who regularly contest shots near the basket. The persistent 0.1 block deficit to the line, combined with the strong under ROI, suggests this isn't a trend likely to reverse significantly. Curry's age and the Warriors' emphasis on preserving his health for offensive duties only reinforce this defensive limitation.

Betting Verdict

LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Curry's defensive role and physical limitations create consistent value on blocks unders, evidenced by the +22.7% ROI and 64.3% under rate. The ideal betting spot comes when the line stays at 0.5, as his 0.45 average provides a clear mathematical edge. Main risk involves occasional help defense situations or garbage time stat-padding in blowouts.

20 OVERS (35.7%)
36 UNDERS
0% 50% breakeven 100%

Performance vs Line

Game Log (Last 15 Games)

Date Opp Line Actual +/- Result
2024-04-12 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-04-11 OPP 0.5 2.0 +1.5 OVER
2024-04-09 OPP 0.5 2.0 +1.5 OVER
2024-04-04 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-04-02 OPP 0.5 2.0 +1.5 OVER
2024-03-31 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-03-29 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-03-27 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-03-26 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-03-24 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-03-22 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-03-20 OPP 0.5 1.0 +0.5 OVER
2024-03-18 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-03-07 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-03-06 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER

Key Splits

Home vs Away

Home 33.3% Over
Away 37.9% Over

Favorite vs Underdog

Favorite 50.0% Over
Underdog 50.0% Over

Recent Trend

Last 5 60.0% Over
Last 10 30.0% Over

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Stephen Curry's Blocks prop record all games?

Stephen Curry's blocks prop record shows 20 overs and 36 unders across 56 games, hitting the over just 35.7% of the time. This translates to unders cashing nearly twice as often as overs, creating a clear statistical edge.

Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Stephen Curry Blocks all games?

Bet under on Stephen Curry's blocks props. His 0.45 blocks per game average falls short of the typical 0.5 line, and unders have delivered +22.7% ROI compared to -31.8% losses on overs across a substantial 56-game sample.

What's Stephen Curry's average Blocks all games?

Stephen Curry averages 0.45 blocks per game, which sits 0.1 blocks below the standard 0.5 line. This consistent deficit creates mathematical value for under bettors, as he needs to exceed his typical production to hit the over.

How reliable is this trend?

The best time to bet Stephen Curry's blocks unders is when the line sits at 0.5, maximizing the edge from his 0.45 average. Target games where Golden State plays disciplined defense without extended garbage time that could inflate stats.

Methodology: This analysis covers 56 games from 2023-11-20 to 2024-04-12. O/U results use closing prop lines. ROI assumes -110 juice. Pushes excluded from percentages.