Shaedon Sharpe's three-pointers made props have been a goldmine for under bettors, hitting just 35.0% of overs across 20 games with a brutal -0.2 differential from his typical 2.1 line. The numbers scream systematic underperformance, making this a high-conviction under trend.
Expert Analysis
The data reveals a fundamental disconnect between market expectations and Sharpe's actual three-point production. At just 1.9 makes per game against a 2.1 line, Sharpe is consistently falling short by meaningful margins, not just barely missing. This isn't random variance — it's a pattern suggesting either the market hasn't properly adjusted to his role limitations or shooting regression from earlier seasons. The 35.0% over rate across 20 games provides substantial sample size confidence, while the +24.1% ROI on unders demonstrates real betting value. Most telling is the current four-game under streak, which aligns with the broader trend rather than fighting it. Young players like Sharpe often face inconsistent shot selection and usage fluctuations that create these exploitable prop situations. The market appears to be pricing his upside potential rather than his realistic floor, creating a systematic edge for disciplined under bettors who recognize when talent doesn't immediately translate to consistent statistical production.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 65.0% under rate and positive ROI create a clear statistical edge, though the limited contextual data prevents maximum conviction. Target this prop when Sharpe faces strong perimeter defenses or in potential blowout scenarios where his minutes could be managed. Primary risk is a hot shooting night breaking the pattern.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-27 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-21 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-17 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-07 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-26 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-18 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-21 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-13 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-02 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-11-30 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2023-11-26 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-11-21 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-11-19 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-11-17 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-11-14 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best 3-Pointers Made Prop Lines
Compare Shaedon Sharpe props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Shaedon Sharpe's 3-Pointers Made prop record all games?
Shaedon Sharpe has hit over his three-pointers made prop in just 7 of 20 games (35.0% rate) this season, going under 13 times with no pushes for a clear systematic pattern favoring under bets.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Shaedon Sharpe 3-Pointers Made all games?
Bet under on Sharpe's three-pointers made props. The 65.0% under rate, +24.1% ROI, and consistent -0.2 average shortfall create a statistical edge that outweighs the risks of occasional hot shooting nights.
What's Shaedon Sharpe's average 3-Pointers Made all games?
Sharpe averages 1.9 three-pointers made per game against his typical 2.1 line, creating a -0.2 differential that consistently favors under bets. This gap represents meaningful underperformance, not minor variance around the number.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Sharpe's three-point unders against strong perimeter defenses or in games with blowout potential where his minutes might be limited. Avoid when Portland desperately needs offense or in high-paced shootout scenarios.