Shaedon Sharpe's assists prop has been a goldmine for under bettors in away games, hitting just 33.3% overs across 12 games with a brutal -36.4% ROI on overs. Currently riding a three-game under streak, averaging 3.0 assists against a 3.42 line. Strong lean under.
Expert Analysis
The numbers paint a clear picture of Sharpe's road struggles as a facilitator. His 3.0 assists average in away games falls 0.42 short of the typical line, creating consistent value for under bettors who have enjoyed a 27.3% ROI. This isn't just variance - it represents a fundamental shift in Sharpe's role and effectiveness away from Portland's home court. Road environments naturally compress assist opportunities for young guards like Sharpe through multiple mechanisms: tighter rotations against unfamiliar defenses, increased focus on scoring over playmaking, and the general chaos that comes with hostile crowds affecting timing and chemistry. The current three-game under streak aligns with his season-long pattern, suggesting books haven't fully adjusted to his road limitations. Most concerning for over bettors is the consistency of this trend - with just 4 overs in 12 attempts, we're looking at a player whose assist ceiling drops significantly in away settings. The 33.3% over rate indicates this isn't about a few outlier performances but rather a systematic issue with Sharpe's playmaking when Portland travels. Given his development stage and the Trail Blazers' overall road struggles, this trend appears sustainable rather than due for regression.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 33.3% over rate and -0.42 average differential create a clear edge, especially with the current three-game under streak reinforcing the pattern. Target this prop when Portland plays quality defensive teams on the road, as Sharpe's assist opportunities become even more limited. Primary risk is a potential blowout where garbage time inflates his numbers, but the consistency of this trend outweighs that concern.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 12 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-27 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-07 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-21 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-02 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-11-30 | OPP | 3.5 | 5.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2023-11-26 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-11-21 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-11-14 | OPP | 4.5 | 7.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2023-11-12 | OPP | 4.5 | 4.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-11-08 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-11-01 | OPP | 3.5 | 5.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2023-10-30 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Shaedon Sharpe's Assists prop record away games?
Shaedon Sharpe has gone over his assists prop in just 4 of 12 away games (33.3%), creating a 4-8-0 record. Under bettors have enjoyed a strong 27.3% ROI while overs have lost -36.4%.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Shaedon Sharpe Assists away games?
Bet under on Sharpe's assists in away games. His 3.0 average falls 0.42 short of typical lines, he's currently on a three-game under streak, and the trend shows remarkable consistency at just 33.3% overs.
What's Shaedon Sharpe's average Assists away games?
Sharpe averages 3.0 assists in away games, which runs 0.42 below the typical 3.42 line. This consistent shortfall has created excellent value for under bettors throughout the season with sustainable edge.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Sharpe's assists unders when Portland faces strong defensive teams on the road. The combination of hostile environment and quality defense further limits his playmaking opportunities beyond his typical road struggles.