Scoot Henderson has delivered exceptional three-point value over his last 10 games, hitting overs at a 70% clip while averaging 2.7 makes against a 1.6 line. The +1.1 differential represents significant market inefficiency, generating +33.6% ROI on overs. This trend strongly favors the over.
Expert Analysis
Henderson's three-point surge reflects his evolving role in Portland's offense and improved shot selection as a second-year player. The 2.7 average against a 1.6 line suggests books are still pricing him based on his rookie season struggles rather than his current trajectory. Young guards often experience shooting variance, but Henderson's 70% over rate across 10 games indicates genuine improvement rather than random hot shooting. The Trail Blazers' pace-heavy system creates more possessions, naturally inflating attempt totals for their primary ball-handler. Henderson's confidence from beyond the arc has visibly grown, taking more catch-and-shoot opportunities while reducing forced attempts. The market appears slow to adjust, creating a persistent edge. However, regression risk exists given his career inconsistency, and the sample size remains relatively small. Road games and back-to-backs could expose fatigue issues that impact his shot selection. The key concern is whether this represents sustainable growth or a temporary hot streak that books will eventually correct with higher lines.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Henderson's 70% over rate and +1.1 differential indicate genuine improvement that the market hasn't fully recognized. The Trail Blazers' system supports higher attempt volumes, and his shot selection has matured significantly. However, the small sample size and potential for regression prevent high confidence. Target favorable matchups against faster-paced teams where Henderson sees increased touches and rhythm shooting opportunities.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-26 | OPP | 1.5 | 5.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-01 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-12 | OPP | 2.5 | 6.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-11 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-05 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-03 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-01 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best 3-Pointers Made Prop Lines
Compare Scoot Henderson props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Scoot Henderson's 3-Pointers Made prop record last 10 games?
Henderson has hit the over on his three-pointers made prop in 7 of his last 10 games (70% rate), with 3 unders. This 7-3-0 record has generated strong +33.6% ROI for over bettors during this stretch.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Scoot Henderson 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?
Lean over on Henderson's three-pointers made props. His 2.7 average significantly exceeds the typical 1.6 line, creating a +1.1 edge. The 70% over rate suggests sustainable improvement rather than random variance.
What's Scoot Henderson's average 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?
Henderson has averaged 2.7 three-pointers made over his last 10 games compared to his typical 1.6 line. This +1.1 differential represents exceptional value and suggests the market is underpricing his current shooting form.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Henderson three-point props in up-tempo matchups where Portland faces faster-paced opponents. His shooting thrives with rhythm and flow, making games with higher possession counts ideal for over bets on his makes total.