Scoot Henderson's three-pointers made prop shows slight under value in away games, going 5-6-0 over/under (45.5% over rate) with a modest +0.1 average differential above the 1.32 line. The under provides a +4.1% ROI edge despite a current three-game over streak.
Expert Analysis
Henderson's away three-point production reveals a young player still finding his rhythm on hostile floors. The 1.45 average against a 1.32 line suggests oddsmakers are slightly undervaluing his road shooting, yet the 45.5% over rate indicates this edge isn't as exploitable as it appears. The rookie guard's inconsistency becomes magnified away from Portland's Moda Center, where crowd energy and familiar shooting backgrounds typically aid young players. His three-game over streak masks underlying volatility - he's alternated between hot and cold stretches throughout the season. Road environments often force Henderson into more contested looks as opposing defenses key on Portland's primary offensive threats. The Trail Blazers' pace and Henderson's usage rate remain critical factors, but away games historically see reduced offensive efficiency for developing players. While the slight positive differential suggests potential over value, the stronger under ROI reflects the reality that Henderson's shot selection and confidence waver more significantly in hostile environments. The sample size of 11 games provides adequate data for trend identification, though Henderson's continued development could shift these patterns as he matures.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The +4.1% under ROI and 54.5% under hit rate provide a sustainable edge despite Henderson's recent three-game over streak. Away environments consistently challenge young shooters, and Henderson's 1.45 average barely exceeds most lines. Target spots where Portland faces elite perimeter defenses or plays in particularly hostile road venues for maximum value.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 11 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-05 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-03 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-01 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-11 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-09 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-11-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-10-30 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-10-25 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Scoot Henderson's 3-Pointers Made prop record away games?
Scoot Henderson's three-pointers made prop in away games shows a 5-6-0 over/under record (45.5% over rate) across 11 games. The under has hit 54.5% of the time, providing better value than the over.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Scoot Henderson 3-Pointers Made away games?
Lean under on Henderson's three-pointers made in away games. The under provides a +4.1% ROI advantage and hits 54.5% of the time, while overs show a negative -13.2% return despite his recent hot streak.
What's Scoot Henderson's average 3-Pointers Made away games?
Henderson averages 1.45 three-pointers made in away games compared to the typical 1.32 line, creating a +0.1 differential. This slight edge above the line suggests modest over value, though under bets have proven more profitable.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Henderson three-point unders when Portland faces elite perimeter defenses on the road or plays in particularly hostile environments. Avoid betting during his hot streaks when lines may be inflated above his 1.45 road average.