Scoot Henderson's blocks prop on one day of rest presents a dominant under trend with a brutal 1-9-0 record and 10.0% over rate. The rookie guard averages just 0.1 blocks against a typical 0.5 line, creating a massive -0.4 differential. This is a strong lean under with excellent historical backing.
Expert Analysis
Henderson's blocking futility on one day of rest stems from fundamental positional realities that short rest doesn't change. As a 6'2" point guard, Henderson lacks the physical tools and defensive positioning to generate consistent blocks, particularly when fatigue limits his already modest shot-blocking opportunities. The 0.1 blocks per game average represents one of the lowest rates among regularly tracked props, indicating this isn't variance but structural limitation. The current five-game under streak aligns with his season-long pattern of rarely impacting shots at the rim. Portland's defensive scheme typically has Henderson focused on perimeter pressure rather than help defense, further limiting block opportunities. The -80.9% ROI on overs reflects books potentially overvaluing Henderson's athleticism relative to his actual defensive impact. With no meaningful split variations and consistent underperformance across the sample, this trend shows remarkable stability. The 71.8% under ROI demonstrates clear market inefficiency, as the line consistently overestimates Henderson's blocking frequency regardless of rest patterns.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Henderson's 1-9-0 record on one day rest creates exceptional under value, driven by positional limitations that rest doesn't address. The 0.1 blocks average versus 0.5 line represents a structural mismatch in expectations. Target this under when the line sits at 0.5 or higher, as Henderson's size and role make blocks an anomaly rather than expectation. The main risk is an unusually aggressive defensive game plan, but Portland's system rarely puts Henderson in rim-protecting situations.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-11 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-05 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-13 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-11 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Scoot Henderson's Blocks prop record 1 day rest?
Henderson's blocks prop record on one day rest is a dominant 1-9-0, with just 10.0% of games going over the line. This represents one of the strongest under trends among tracked player props.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Scoot Henderson Blocks 1 day rest?
Bet under on Henderson's blocks with one day rest. The 1-9-0 record and 0.1 blocks average create exceptional under value that his positional limitations support long-term.
What's Scoot Henderson's average Blocks 1 day rest?
Henderson averages 0.1 blocks on one day rest compared to typical 0.5 lines, creating a massive -0.4 differential. This gap reflects his limited shot-blocking opportunities as a point guard.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Henderson blocks unders when lines sit at 0.5 or higher following one day rest. Avoid when Portland faces smaller lineups that might increase his rim protection responsibilities.