Scoot Henderson's blocks prop presents a compelling under opportunity, hitting just 20.0% of overs across his last 10 games with a brutal -0.3 differential versus the standard 0.5 line. The under delivers +52.7% ROI while overs crater at -61.8%, creating clear value on the defensive side.
Expert Analysis
Henderson's blocks drought stems from his natural position and role within Portland's system. As a primary ball-handler, Henderson spends most defensive possessions pressuring opposing guards rather than rotating into help defense where blocks typically occur. His 0.2 blocks per game average represents a significant 60% shortfall from the 0.5 line, indicating oddsmakers haven't fully adjusted to his defensive responsibilities. The Trail Blazers' pace-heavy approach further limits Henderson's block opportunities, as faster games reduce half-court sets where help defense becomes necessary. Henderson's 6-game under streak demonstrates the persistence of this trend, with his role unlikely to change dramatically in Portland's guard-heavy rotation. While young players can show defensive growth spurts, Henderson's current 6'2" frame and perimeter-focused assignments create structural barriers to consistent block production. The sample size of 10 games provides adequate data for trend identification, particularly when supported by such clear role-based reasoning. Henderson's defensive value comes through steals and pressure, not rim protection, making the under a sustainable play until his usage or Portland's defensive scheme shifts significantly.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Henderson's role as Portland's primary ball-handler keeps him away from help defense situations where blocks occur naturally. The 0.2 average versus 0.5 line creates massive value, supported by a 6-game under streak and +52.7% ROI. Target this prop in faster-paced games where Henderson's perimeter responsibilities intensify. Main risk is garbage-time rotations or injury-forced position changes.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-11 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-05 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-13 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Scoot Henderson's Blocks prop record last 10 games?
Henderson's blocks prop went 2-8-0 over/under in his last 10 games, hitting just 20.0% of overs. He averaged 0.2 blocks per game against the typical 0.5 line, creating a significant -0.3 differential that heavily favored under bettors.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Scoot Henderson Blocks last 10 games?
Bet the UNDER with high confidence. Henderson's 0.2 blocks average sits 60% below the standard 0.5 line, delivering +52.7% ROI for under bettors. His role as Portland's primary guard keeps him away from help defense where blocks occur.
What's Scoot Henderson's average Blocks last 10 games?
Henderson averaged 0.2 blocks per game over his last 10 contests, significantly below the typical 0.5 blocks line. This -0.3 differential represents a 60% shortfall, indicating oddsmakers haven't fully adjusted to his perimeter-focused defensive role.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Henderson's blocks under in faster-paced games where his ball-handling responsibilities intensify. Avoid when Portland faces injury issues that could force position changes or during potential blowouts where defensive rotations might shift unexpectedly late in games.