Saddiq Bey's three-point prop presents a clear under opportunity with only 40% overs hitting over his last 10 games. Averaging 1.8 makes against a 2.0 line, the under has generated 14.6% ROI while overs have lost 23.6%. The data strongly favors betting under.
Expert Analysis
Saddiq Bey's three-point struggles reflect Washington's broader offensive dysfunction and his diminished role within their system. The 1.8 average against a 2.0 line represents a meaningful 10% gap that books haven't properly adjusted for, creating sustainable value on the under. This isn't simply variance—Bey's shot selection and volume have shifted as Washington has experimented with lineups and rotations throughout their disappointing season. The Wizards rank among the league's worst in offensive efficiency, limiting quality looks for role players like Bey who depend on clean catch-and-shoot opportunities. His 40% over rate across 10 games shows remarkable consistency in falling short, with only brief one-game over streaks interrupted by longer under runs. The -23.6% ROI on overs indicates sharp money has already identified this edge, yet books remain slow to adjust the line downward. Bey's three-point shooting has become increasingly mechanical and forced, lacking the rhythm that comes from consistent offensive flow. Washington's pace and shot distribution continue favoring their primary scorers, leaving Bey with fewer premium attempts per game than his historical averages would suggest.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 1.8 average versus 2.0 line creates clear mathematical value, supported by Washington's offensive limitations and Bey's reduced role. Target games where the Wizards face strong perimeter defenses or play on short rest, as these conditions have historically suppressed his three-point volume. The main risk is a potential lineup change that increases his usage, but current trends strongly favor the under.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-05 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-02 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-28 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-22 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-17 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-13 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-12 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-07 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-31 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-23 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best 3-Pointers Made Prop Lines
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Saddiq Bey's 3-Pointers Made prop record last 10 games?
Saddiq Bey has gone over his three-pointers made prop just 4 times in his last 10 games (40% rate), going under 6 times. This 4-6-0 record shows consistent struggles hitting the number, with the under dominating recent action.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Saddiq Bey 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?
Bet under on Saddiq Bey's three-pointers made. His 1.8 average versus 2.0 line creates clear value, supported by 14.6% ROI on unders and Washington's offensive limitations. The data strongly supports continued under performance in this spot.
What's Saddiq Bey's average 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?
Saddiq Bey is averaging 1.8 three-pointers made over his last 10 games, sitting 0.2 below the typical 2.0 line. This 10% gap represents meaningful value for under bettors, as he's consistently falling short of market expectations.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Saddiq Bey under props when Washington faces strong perimeter defenses or plays on short rest. These conditions have historically limited his three-point volume and quality of looks, making the under even more attractive than the already favorable baseline numbers suggest.