Russell Westbrook's three-point prop presents a massive under edge, hitting just 27.3% overs across 11 games with a brutal -47.9% over ROI. He's averaging 0.55 makes against a 0.77 line, creating a consistent -0.2 differential that's currently riding a four-game under streak.
Expert Analysis
Russell Westbrook's three-point struggles represent one of the most reliable under trends in the NBA prop market. His 0.55 average against a 0.77 line reveals books are still overvaluing his perimeter shooting based on outdated expectations. The 27.3% over rate across 11 games isn't just poor—it's systematically exploitable. Westbrook's role transformation from primary ball-handler to complementary piece has fundamentally altered his shot selection, yet oddsmakers haven't fully adjusted. His current four-game under streak aligns with his season-long pattern of inconsistent three-point volume and efficiency. The -47.9% over ROI demonstrates how severely the market has mispriced this prop, while the +38.8% under ROI validates the betting opportunity. What makes this trend particularly sustainable is Westbrook's age-related decline in shooting mechanics combined with his reduced usage rate in LA's system. Unlike volume-based props that can fluctuate with game script, three-point makes depend on both opportunity and efficiency—two areas where Westbrook has shown consistent weakness. The lack of any meaningful hot streaks (longest over streak is just one game) suggests this isn't variance but a fundamental shift in his offensive profile that books haven't properly recognized.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 27.3% over rate and -0.2 differential create a clear mathematical edge, but the limited 11-game sample prevents high confidence. Target this under when Westbrook faces elite perimeter defenses or in games with slower projected pace that could limit his three-point attempts. Main risk is a random hot shooting night, but his season-long pattern suggests those will be rare exceptions rather than trend-breaking events.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 11 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-28 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-11-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-11-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-11-10 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-11-06 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-10-31 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-10-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 3.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2023-10-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-10-25 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
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Find the Best 3-Pointers Made Prop Lines
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Russell Westbrook's 3-Pointers Made prop record all games?
Russell Westbrook has gone 3-8-0 over/under on his Three Pointers Made prop across 11 games, hitting just 27.3% overs. This represents one of the most lopsided prop records in the NBA, with unders cashing at a 72.7% clip while generating a +38.8% ROI.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Russell Westbrook 3-Pointers Made all games?
Bet under on Russell Westbrook's Three Pointers Made props. His 27.3% over rate and -0.2 average differential create a clear mathematical edge. The four-game under streak and -47.9% over ROI validate this as a systematic market inefficiency worth exploiting consistently.
What's Russell Westbrook's average 3-Pointers Made all games?
Russell Westbrook averages 0.55 Three Pointers Made per game against a typical line of 0.77, creating a -0.2 differential. This gap represents the core value in betting his under, as he's consistently falling short of market expectations by nearly a quarter make per game.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Russell Westbrook's Three Pointers Made under when he faces top-10 perimeter defenses or in games with slower projected pace. His current four-game under streak and season-long 27.3% over rate suggest the best time is simply whenever the prop is available at standard odds.