Rui Hachimura's points props on one day rest present a profitable under opportunity, hitting just 45.5% overs across 22 games with a -13.2% over ROI versus +4.1% under ROI. The Lakers forward averages 13.36 points against a 12.55 line, but the modest 0.8-point edge doesn't overcome the poor over rate. Lean under on standard rest situations.
Expert Analysis
The data reveals a clear pattern working against Hachimura's points overs when playing on one day rest. His 10-12 over-under record translates to a losing proposition for over bettors, with the negative ROI confirming that even when he does clear his number, the victories aren't covering the juice. The 13.36 average against a 12.55 line suggests oddsmakers are pricing him accurately, perhaps even generously given his inconsistent scoring output in these spots. Hachimura's role as the Lakers' fourth or fifth scoring option becomes more pronounced when dealing with standard rest patterns, as he often defers to the primary stars and sees reduced usage in competitive games. The longest under streak of four games indicates he can go cold for extended periods, while his longest over streak maxes at just two games. This volatility, combined with the Lakers' tendency to lean heavily on LeBron James and Anthony Davis in crucial moments, creates an environment where Hachimura's scoring opportunities become unpredictable. The current one-game over streak shouldn't be viewed as momentum, given his historical pattern of brief hot stretches followed by longer cold spells.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 45.5% over rate and positive under ROI create a sustainable edge, particularly when Hachimura's line sits at 12.5 or higher. Target games where the Lakers are expected to be competitive, as blowouts in either direction can skew his usage unpredictably. The main risk lies in his streaky nature and potential for expanded role if teammates sit, but the data supports consistent under betting in standard rest scenarios.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-11 | OPP | 12.5 | 16.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2025-04-06 | OPP | 12.5 | 11.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-31 | OPP | 9.5 | 7.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-29 | OPP | 11.5 | 13.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-26 | OPP | 9.5 | 14.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2025-02-27 | OPP | 14.5 | 5.0 | -9.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-05 | OPP | 9.5 | 13.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-23 | OPP | 13.5 | 10.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-29 | OPP | 10.5 | 8.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-10-30 | OPP | 14.5 | 8.0 | -6.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 13.5 | 11.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 14.5 | 20.0 | +5.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 15.5 | 14.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 13.5 | 20.0 | +6.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-26 | OPP | 14.5 | 16.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Points Prop Lines
Compare Rui Hachimura props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Rui Hachimura's Points prop record 1 day rest?
Hachimura's points props on one day rest show a 10-12 over-under record (45.5% overs) across 22 games from October 2023 to April 2025, generating negative ROI for over bettors at -13.2%.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Rui Hachimura Points 1 day rest?
Bet under on Hachimura's points props with one day rest. The 45.5% over rate and +4.1% under ROI provide a clear statistical edge, especially when his line is set at 12.5 points or higher.
What's Rui Hachimura's average Points 1 day rest?
Hachimura averages 13.36 points on one day rest compared to his typical line of 12.55, creating just a 0.8-point positive differential that doesn't overcome his poor 45.5% over rate in these situations.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Hachimura unders when the Lakers play competitive games on standard rest, avoiding back-to-backs or extended rest scenarios where his role and usage patterns become less predictable and historical trends may not apply.