RJ Barrett's three-pointers made prop on one day rest presents a slight under edge with 9-10 over/under record (47.4% overs) across 19 games. Despite averaging 1.68 makes versus a typical 1.5 line, the current four-game under streak and negative over ROI (-9.6%) suggests lean under value.
Expert Analysis
Barrett's three-point shooting on one day rest reveals a fascinating disconnect between volume and efficiency. While his 1.68 average suggests consistent shooting opportunities, the 47.4% over rate indicates he's falling short of expectations more often than hitting them. The negative 9.6% ROI on overs tells the real story - bettors backing Barrett to exceed his line are losing money over time. The current four-game under streak represents his longest dry spell in this sample, suggesting either fatigue accumulation or defensive adjustments limiting his clean looks. What's particularly telling is how Barrett's shooting appears less reliable with limited rest compared to his season-long patterns. The 1.5 line appears appropriately set, perhaps even slightly generous given his actual performance. Toronto's pace and Barrett's role in their offense may be creating situations where he's taking more contested threes or rushing shots when playing on back-to-back scenarios. The consistency of under results, combined with the negative over ROI, suggests this isn't random variance but a legitimate trend worth exploiting.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Barrett's 47.4% over rate and negative 9.6% over ROI create a sustainable edge for under bettors. The four-game under streak reinforces the pattern of him struggling to consistently hit multiple threes on limited rest. Target this spot when the line sits at 1.5, as his 1.68 average barely clears that threshold. Main risk is Barrett finding rhythm in a high-pace game or facing poor perimeter defense.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-14 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-11 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-05 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-07 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-05 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-03 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-01 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-28 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-14 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-12 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-09 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-07 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-22 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is RJ Barrett's 3-Pointers Made prop record 1 day rest?
Barrett's three-pointers made prop on one day rest shows a 9-10 over/under record (47.4% overs) across 19 games from January 2024 to March 2025, with over bets producing a negative 9.6% ROI while under bets generated positive 0.5% returns.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on RJ Barrett 3-Pointers Made 1 day rest?
Bet under on Barrett's three-pointers made with one day rest. The 47.4% over rate and negative over ROI create a clear edge, reinforced by his current four-game under streak and barely-profitable 1.68 average against typical 1.5 lines.
What's RJ Barrett's average 3-Pointers Made 1 day rest?
Barrett averages 1.68 three-pointers made on one day rest, just 0.18 makes above the standard 1.5 line. This thin margin explains why overs hit only 47.4% of the time, creating consistent value on under bets in this specific rest situation.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Barrett's three-point props when Toronto plays on one day rest with the line set at 1.5. Avoid when facing poor perimeter defenses or in expected high-pace games where his volume could spike beyond his typical shooting efficiency patterns.