RJ Barrett's blocks prop presents a clear under opportunity with just 30.0% overs hitting across 30 games. Barrett averages only 0.33 blocks against a 0.5 line, creating a -0.2 differential that has delivered +33.6% ROI on unders. This defensive limitation makes the under a strong play.
Expert Analysis
Barrett's blocks struggles stem from his role as a perimeter-focused wing who rarely ventures into rim protection territory. At 6'7" with limited shot-blocking instincts, Barrett operates primarily on the offensive end and weak-side defense, positioning him away from block opportunities. His 0.33 average represents a fundamental mismatch between his skill set and the betting line expectation. The consistency of this under trend—hitting 70% of the time—suggests books haven't properly adjusted the line to reflect Barrett's defensive limitations. Unlike versatile forwards who rotate into help defense, Barrett's responsibilities keep him matched up with perimeter players where blocks are scarce. The five-game under streak demonstrates how rarely Barrett finds himself in shot-blocking situations. His offensive usage and transition responsibilities further limit his presence in the paint during defensive possessions. This isn't a temporary slump but rather a structural reality of how Toronto deploys Barrett and his natural defensive tendencies.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Barrett's 0.33 blocks average creates a significant edge against the 0.5 line, with unders cashing at a 70% clip. The structural reasons behind this trend—his perimeter role, limited rim protection instincts, and offensive-focused responsibilities—suggest continued value. The main risk is an unusually physical game or garbage time desperation swipes, but Barrett's consistent role makes this a premium under play.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-05 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-05 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-28 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-26 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
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Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is RJ Barrett's Blocks prop record all games?
Barrett's blocks prop record shows 9 overs and 21 unders across 30 games, hitting the over just 30.0% of the time. This represents one of the more reliable under trends for perimeter players this season.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on RJ Barrett Blocks all games?
Bet the under on Barrett's blocks props. His 0.33 average creates a clear edge against the 0.5 line, with unders delivering +33.6% ROI and hitting 70% of the time consistently.
What's RJ Barrett's average Blocks all games?
Barrett averages 0.33 blocks per game, creating a -0.2 differential against the typical 0.5 line. This gap reflects his perimeter role and limited shot-blocking opportunities as a wing player.
How reliable is this trend?
Barrett's blocks under is consistently valuable regardless of matchup due to his role limitations. Target games where he faces fellow perimeter players rather than physical forwards who might force help defense.