Bet OVER
7-3 O/U Record
70.0% Over Rate
3.4u Units Won
+33.6% ROI
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P.J. Washington has crushed blocks props with a dominant 7-3-0 over record across his last 10 games, averaging 1.0 blocks against a typical 0.5 line. The +33.6% ROI on overs signals legitimate defensive impact during Dallas's playoff push. This trend merits strong consideration on future blocks props.

Expert Analysis

Washington's blocks surge coincides with his expanded role in Dallas's defensive scheme following the trade from Charlotte. The Mavericks have deployed him as a versatile defender capable of switching onto multiple positions, creating more rim protection opportunities than his previous role. His 1.0 blocks per game represents a significant leap from career norms, but the consistency is striking—hitting overs in 70% of games suggests this isn't random variance. The five-game over streak within this sample demonstrates sustained defensive aggression. However, regression concerns are valid given blocks are inherently volatile and dependent on opponent shot selection. Washington's defensive positioning has clearly improved under Jason Kidd's system, but maintaining this pace requires continued heavy minutes and favorable matchups against teams that attack the rim. The lack of recent under streaks longer than two games indicates this defensive uptick has staying power through Dallas's system change.

Betting Verdict

LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Washington's defensive role expansion in Dallas creates legitimate blocks upside that the market hasn't fully adjusted to yet. The 70% over rate and consistent 1.0 average provide strong evidence this isn't fluky. Target overs when Dallas faces teams with aggressive interior offense or when Washington projects for 28+ minutes, but avoid back-to-backs where his energy might lag.

7 OVERS (70.0%)
3 UNDERS
0% 50% breakeven 100%

Performance vs Line

Game Log (Last 10 Games)

Date Opp Line Actual +/- Result
2024-04-10 OPP 0.5 1.0 +0.5 OVER
2024-04-09 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-04-07 OPP 0.5 2.0 +1.5 OVER
2024-04-04 OPP 0.5 1.0 +0.5 OVER
2024-04-02 OPP 0.5 1.0 +0.5 OVER
2024-03-31 OPP 0.5 1.0 +0.5 OVER
2024-03-29 OPP 0.5 2.0 +1.5 OVER
2024-03-26 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-03-25 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-03-21 OPP 0.5 2.0 +1.5 OVER

Key Splits

Home vs Away

Home 100.0% Over
Away 57.1% Over

Favorite vs Underdog

Favorite 50.0% Over
Underdog 50.0% Over

Recent Trend

Last 5 80.0% Over
Last 10 70.0% Over

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is P.J. Washington's Blocks prop record last 10 games?

Washington has gone over his blocks prop in 7 of his last 10 games (70% over rate) with a 7-3-0 record. He's averaging 1.0 blocks per game during this stretch, well above typical 0.5 lines.

Should I bet OVER or UNDER on P.J. Washington Blocks last 10 games?

Lean over on Washington's blocks props. His 70% over rate and +33.6% ROI indicate genuine defensive improvement in Dallas's system. The 1.0 average against 0.5 lines provides consistent value despite blocks' inherent volatility.

What's P.J. Washington's average Blocks last 10 games?

Washington is averaging 1.0 blocks per game over his last 10 contests, which is double the typical 0.5 line offered on his blocks props. This +0.5 differential has created profitable over opportunities.

How reliable is this trend?

Target Washington blocks overs when Dallas faces teams with aggressive interior offense or when he projects for 28+ minutes. Avoid back-to-back games where fatigue might reduce his defensive intensity and rim protection.

Methodology: This analysis covers 10 games from 2024-03-21 to 2024-04-10. O/U results use closing prop lines. ROI assumes -110 juice. Pushes excluded from percentages.