Paul George has connected on overs at a 60% clip over his last 10 games, averaging 3.2 three-pointers against a typical 3.0 line. The +14.6% ROI on overs suggests legitimate value, though the modest 0.2 differential keeps this from being a slam dunk. Lean over with measured confidence.
Expert Analysis
Paul George's three-point shooting has shown encouraging consistency during this 10-game sample, with the 6-4 over record backed by solid underlying metrics. The 3.2 average against a 3.0 line represents meaningful value, particularly when considering George's role as Philadelphia's primary perimeter threat. What makes this trend compelling is the sustainability factor – George's shot diet has remained consistent, with his three-point attempts staying in a narrow range that supports the 3+ makes threshold. The 60% over rate isn't inflated by outlier performances but rather reflects steady production above the betting market's expectations. However, regression concerns are valid given the relatively small sample size and George's injury history potentially affecting shot selection. The current streak of one under suggests the market may be adjusting, but George's usage patterns in Philadelphia's system continue to create favorable conditions for three-point volume. The key risk lies in load management or minor injuries that could limit his aggressiveness from deep, but when healthy and engaged, George has shown he can consistently exceed the standard 3.0 line that books typically set for his three-point props.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. George's 3.2 average against the typical 3.0 line provides a measurable edge, supported by his consistent role in Philadelphia's offense. The 60% over rate and positive ROI suggest this isn't random variance but reflects genuine value. Best spots come when George is rested and facing pace-up matchups. Main risk is load management reducing his shot attempts in less competitive games.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-05 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 3.5 | 5.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-24 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-17 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-09 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-04 | OPP | 2.5 | 6.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-04 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-02 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-26 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-23 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Paul George's 3-Pointers Made prop record last 10 games?
Paul George has gone over his three-pointers made prop in 6 of his last 10 games (60% rate), averaging 3.2 makes against typical lines around 3.0. This 6-4 over/under record has generated a +14.6% ROI for over bettors during this stretch.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Paul George 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?
Lean over on Paul George's three-pointers made props. His 3.2 average exceeds the typical 3.0 line, the 60% over rate shows consistency, and the +14.6% ROI indicates genuine value. However, monitor for rest days or reduced minutes in blowouts.
What's Paul George's average 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?
Paul George is averaging 3.2 three-pointers made over his last 10 games, which sits 0.2 above the typical 3.0 line that sportsbooks set. This differential represents meaningful value when consistently applied across multiple betting opportunities.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Paul George three-point overs when he's well-rested and facing uptempo opponents. Avoid back-to-back games or blowout scenarios where his minutes might be limited. His best spots come in competitive games where Philadelphia needs his perimeter scoring.