Paul George delivers exceptional three-point value in away games, hitting overs at a 68.8% clip (11-5-0) with a +31.2% ROI across 16 games. His 3.31 average significantly outpaces typical lines around 3.06, creating consistent profit opportunities. Strong lean over in road spots.
Expert Analysis
Paul George transforms into a more aggressive three-point shooter away from Philadelphia, and the data reveals a compelling pattern that oddsmakers haven't fully adjusted for. His 3.31 road average represents a meaningful 8.2% increase over his typical line, suggesting either enhanced shot selection or increased usage in hostile environments. The 68.8% over rate isn't just impressive—it's sustainable given George's career-long tendency to elevate his perimeter game in challenging road atmospheres where the 76ers often trail and need his scoring punch. The +31.2% ROI demonstrates real market inefficiency, as books consistently undervalue his road three-point production. Most telling is the streak data: George hit six consecutive overs during his peak road stretch, showing this isn't random variance but a systematic adjustment to away-game dynamics. The current single-game under streak actually presents value, as regression typically works both ways. George's shot quality remains consistent regardless of venue, but his shot quantity increases meaningfully on the road where Philadelphia's offensive flow often runs through his perimeter shooting. This trend has persisted across different lineups and matchups, suggesting it's tied to fundamental game script rather than opponent-specific factors.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. George's road three-point production offers genuine edge with his 3.31 average consistently exceeding market expectations. The 68.8% hit rate and strong ROI indicate sustainable value, particularly when lines sit at 3.0 or below. Primary risk involves potential rest games or blowout scenarios limiting his minutes, but Philadelphia's competitive road games typically require George's full offensive arsenal including his three-point volume.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-05 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-24 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-17 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-09 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-04 | OPP | 2.5 | 6.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-04 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-02 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-26 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-23 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-21 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-14 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-07 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-03 | OPP | 3.5 | 5.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-02 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2023-11-24 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best 3-Pointers Made Prop Lines
Compare Paul George props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Paul George's 3-Pointers Made prop record away games?
Paul George's three pointers made prop has gone over in 11 of 16 away games (68.8%) with a 11-5-0 record. His road performance generates a strong +31.2% return on investment, significantly outperforming his under bets which show -40.3% ROI.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Paul George 3-Pointers Made away games?
Bet over on Paul George's three pointers made in away games. His 3.31 road average consistently exceeds typical lines around 3.06, creating sustainable value with a 68.8% hit rate and proven profitability across 16-game sample.
What's Paul George's average 3-Pointers Made away games?
Paul George averages 3.31 three pointers made in away games, notably higher than his typical line of 3.06. This +0.25 differential represents meaningful value, as he consistently exceeds market expectations by approximately 8.2% in road spots.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Paul George three-point overs in competitive road games where lines sit at 3.0 or below. Avoid rest-risk scenarios or potential blowouts, but standard away games offer consistent value given his elevated road shooting patterns.