Patrick Williams blocks props present a neutral opportunity with a 50% over rate across 14 games, averaging 0.71 blocks against a 0.5 line. The +0.21 average differential suggests consistent value, but negative ROI on both sides indicates market efficiency. This warrants a cautious approach with situational betting focus.
Expert Analysis
Williams's blocks production reveals a player whose defensive impact exceeds the conservative 0.5 line but lacks the consistency for systematic profits. The 0.71 average represents legitimate defensive activity from Chicago's versatile forward, who operates as a weak-side help defender in Billy Donovan's switching schemes. His 6'7" frame and improving defensive instincts generate blocks through rotations rather than rim protection, creating inherent volatility in this prop. The perfect 50% split suggests the market has efficiently priced his inconsistent but present shot-blocking ability. Williams's blocks come in bunches—evident from the alternating 3-game streaks—indicating matchup dependency rather than role-driven production. His defensive assignments vary significantly based on Chicago's injury situation and opponent personnel, making game-to-game prediction challenging. The negative ROI despite the favorable average differential points to juice and variance overwhelming the modest edge. Without clear splits showing advantageous spots, Williams's blocks props become a coin flip with unfavorable payouts. The trend lacks the directional bias or exploitable patterns that create sustainable betting opportunities.
Betting Verdict
PASS with LOW confidence. While Williams averages 0.21 blocks above the standard 0.5 line, the perfect 50% over rate and negative ROI on both sides indicate an efficiently priced market. Without clear situational advantages or recent form data to identify optimal spots, this prop offers minimal edge despite the favorable average differential.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 14 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-26 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-02 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-28 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-23 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-20 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-18 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-16 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-11 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-08 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-06 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2023-10-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Patrick Williams's Blocks prop record all games?
Patrick Williams has gone over 0.5 blocks in exactly 7 of 14 games this season, posting a perfect 50% over rate. His 7-7-0 record shows no directional bias, with the longest streaks reaching just 3 games in either direction.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Patrick Williams Blocks all games?
Pass on Williams blocks props currently. Despite averaging 0.71 blocks against a 0.5 line, the 50% over rate and negative ROI on both sides indicate an efficiently priced market with minimal edge for systematic betting.
What's Patrick Williams's average Blocks all games?
Williams averages 0.71 blocks per game against the standard 0.5 line, creating a +0.21 differential. This suggests consistent defensive activity, but the 50% over rate indicates the production comes in volatile, matchup-dependent spurts rather than steady accumulation.
How reliable is this trend?
Without clear split advantages, focus on individual matchups against teams allowing high block rates or when Williams faces increased minutes due to Chicago's frontcourt injuries. Avoid systematic betting until clearer situational edges emerge from expanded data.