OG Anunoby's points props have been significantly mispriced, hitting under in 6 of 10 games (40% over rate) while averaging 12.1 points against a 14.1 line. The -2.0 point differential and +14.6% ROI on unders signals a clear betting edge targeting the under.
Expert Analysis
The market appears to be overvaluing Anunoby's scoring output in his current role with the Knicks, creating a systematic underpricing of his under props. Averaging 12.1 points against lines consistently set around 14.1 represents a meaningful 14% gap that suggests oddsmakers haven't fully adjusted to his reduced offensive usage alongside Jalen Brunson, Julius Randle, and other primary scorers. The 4-6 over/under record tells only part of the story - the consistency of falling short by 2 full points indicates this isn't random variance but a structural shift in his role. Anunoby's defensive-first mentality and willingness to sacrifice shots for team success has translated into more modest scoring outputs than his previous stops. The current 4-game under streak following a brief 2-game over run suggests the market correction is ongoing. Most concerning for over bettors is that even when Anunoby does go over, the margins are typically thin, while his unders often hit with room to spare. The -23.6% ROI on overs reflects not just frequency but magnitude of misses. Until the market adjusts these inflated lines downward, or Anunoby's role expands significantly, the structural advantage favors under bettors who can capitalize on this persistent mispricing.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 2-point average shortfall and +14.6% under ROI indicate systematic line inflation that creates value on the under side. Target this play when lines remain elevated above 14 points, particularly in games where the Knicks' primary scorers are healthy and likely to command higher usage rates. Main risk is a potential role expansion or hot shooting variance that could temporarily reverse this trend.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-10 | OPP | 15.5 | 4.0 | -11.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-07 | OPP | 16.5 | 17.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-05 | OPP | 15.5 | 25.0 | +9.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 14.5 | 11.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-12 | OPP | 13.5 | 15.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-11 | OPP | 13.5 | 12.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 11.5 | 4.0 | -7.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-16 | OPP | 13.5 | 2.0 | -11.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-14 | OPP | 12.5 | 12.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-27 | OPP | 14.5 | 19.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is OG Anunoby's Points prop record last 10 games?
Anunoby has gone under his points prop in 6 of his last 10 games (4-6 over/under record), representing a 40% over rate. He's averaging 12.1 points against an average line of 14.1, falling short by 2 full points per game on average.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on OG Anunoby Points last 10 games?
Target the under on Anunoby's points props. The consistent 2-point shortfall and +14.6% ROI on unders indicates the market is systematically overpricing his scoring output in his current role with the Knicks' loaded offensive roster.
What's OG Anunoby's average Points last 10 games?
Anunoby is averaging 12.1 points over his last 10 games compared to an average line of 14.1 points. This -2.0 differential represents a significant 14% gap between his actual production and market expectations.
How reliable is this trend?
Best opportunities arise when lines remain elevated above 14 points and the Knicks' primary scorers are healthy. Target games where his defensive workload is expected to be high, as this often correlates with reduced offensive focus and shot attempts.