OG Anunoby's points props present a clear under opportunity with just 37.9% overs hitting across 29 games. His 11-18 record against the number generates +18.5% ROI on unders despite averaging nearly identical to his lines. The consistent underperformance suggests sustainable value betting unders.
Expert Analysis
Anunoby's points production reveals a fascinating disconnect between perception and reality. Despite averaging 14.17 points against a 14.12 line differential of just +0.1, he's failed to exceed expectations in nearly two-thirds of games. This isn't about talent degradation—it's about role optimization within New York's system. The Knicks utilize Anunoby primarily as a defensive anchor and spot-up shooter, limiting his scoring opportunities compared to his Toronto days when he carried heavier offensive loads. His current five-game under streak exemplifies this pattern, where game flow and team needs often cap his ceiling. The -27.6% ROI on overs reflects books potentially overvaluing his past scoring peaks while underweighting his current complementary role. Most tellingly, his longest under streak reached five games while overs maxed at just two, suggesting systematic rather than random underperformance. The consistency of this trend across nearly 30 games indicates structural factors rather than temporary slumps. Anunoby's defensive responsibilities and the Knicks' balanced offensive attack create natural scoring limitations that oddsmakers haven't fully adjusted for, making this a textbook case of market inefficiency in role-based props.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 62.1% under hit rate combined with positive ROI creates sustainable value, though the minimal average differential prevents this from being a slam dunk. Target games where Anunoby faces elite offensive opponents requiring maximum defensive attention, as these scenarios typically limit his offensive involvement. Primary risk involves potential lineup changes or injuries that could expand his scoring role unexpectedly.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-10 | OPP | 15.5 | 4.0 | -11.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-07 | OPP | 16.5 | 17.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-05 | OPP | 15.5 | 25.0 | +9.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 14.5 | 11.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-12 | OPP | 13.5 | 15.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-11 | OPP | 13.5 | 12.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 11.5 | 4.0 | -7.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-16 | OPP | 13.5 | 2.0 | -11.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-14 | OPP | 12.5 | 12.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-27 | OPP | 14.5 | 19.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-25 | OPP | 14.5 | 26.0 | +11.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-23 | OPP | 14.5 | 10.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-20 | OPP | 15.5 | 14.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-13 | OPP | 14.5 | 18.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-11 | OPP | 13.5 | 10.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is OG Anunoby's Points prop record all games?
Anunoby's points props show an 11-18 over/under record (37.9% overs) across 29 games from November 2023 through January 2025. This 62.1% under rate demonstrates consistent underperformance against market expectations despite his solid overall scoring production.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on OG Anunoby Points all games?
Bet under on Anunoby's points props. The 62.1% under hit rate and +18.5% ROI provide clear mathematical edges. His defensive-focused role in New York's system consistently limits scoring upside compared to what oddsmakers price in.
What's OG Anunoby's average Points all games?
Anunoby averages 14.17 points per game against an average line of 14.12, creating just a +0.1 differential. Despite this minimal gap, he still hits unders 62.1% of the time, highlighting how tight margins can still generate consistent betting value.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Anunoby under props when the Knicks face high-powered offenses requiring his maximum defensive attention. Games against elite scorers typically limit his offensive involvement, making unders most profitable in these defensive-heavy game scripts and situations.