Nikola Vučević's three-pointers made prop on one day rest presents a clear under bias, hitting just 46.7% of overs across 45 games. The modest +0.08 average differential above typical lines creates consistent value on the under side, generating positive ROI.
Expert Analysis
The data reveals a compelling pattern in Vučević's three-point shooting when operating on limited rest. His 46.7% over rate across 45 games represents a meaningful deviation from the 52.4% break-even threshold needed for profitable over betting. The center's 1.36 average makes versus his typical 1.28 line shows books haven't fully adjusted to his rest-dependent shooting variance. This edge becomes more pronounced when examining the ROI disparity—under bets have generated positive returns while overs have cost bettors nearly 11%. The trend suggests Vučević's shot selection becomes more conservative or his legs affect his range when playing consecutive nights. Big men historically struggle more with back-to-back shooting rhythm than perimeter players, and Vučević's role as Chicago's primary offensive hub means he's expending significant energy on other facets. The six-game under streak maximum versus four-game over streak indicates volatility favors the under side. His recent single-game under streak suggests books may be slow to adjust lines downward, creating continued value.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 46.7% over rate combined with positive under ROI creates a sustainable edge that books haven't fully corrected. Target this spot when lines sit at 1.5 or higher, as Vučević's shooting consistency drops on consecutive playing days. The primary risk is variance in Chicago's offensive pace or blowout scenarios affecting his usage, but the sample size provides confidence in the underlying trend.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-31 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-29 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-24 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-17 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-15 | OPP | 0.5 | 3.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2025-02-02 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-06 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-17 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-11 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Nikola Vučević's 3-Pointers Made prop record 1 day rest?
Vučević has gone 21-24 on three-pointers made overs with one day rest, hitting just 46.7% across 45 games. This represents a clear under bias compared to the 52.4% needed for profitable over betting.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Nikola Vučević 3-Pointers Made 1 day rest?
Bet the under on Vučević's three-pointers made props with one day rest. The 46.7% over rate and positive under ROI create sustainable value that sportsbooks haven't fully adjusted for in their pricing.
What's Nikola Vučević's average 3-Pointers Made 1 day rest?
Vučević averages 1.36 three-pointers made on one day rest compared to his typical 1.28 line. While slightly above the line, this modest differential hasn't prevented consistent under value given his low over rate.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Vučević three-point unders when lines are 1.5 or higher on one day rest. The edge is strongest in regular season games where his minutes and shot attempts remain consistent throughout the contest.