Nikola Vučević shows a modest over tendency with a 52.2% over rate (36-33-0) across 69 games, averaging 1.46 three-pointers made against a 1.28 line. The +0.18 differential indicates consistent value, though negative ROI on both sides suggests market efficiency. Lean OVER with caution.
Expert Analysis
Vučević's three-point shooting represents a fascinating case study in modern center evolution. His 52.2% over rate isn't overwhelming, but the consistent +0.18 average differential above the 1.28 line reveals genuine value that the market hasn't fully captured. The Bulls' offensive system under Billy Donovan has increasingly featured Vučević as a floor-spacer, with his improved mechanics and confidence from beyond the arc translating to more attempts and makes than oddsmakers typically price. The negative ROI on both sides (-0.4% over, -8.7% under) reflects tight market pricing, but the under's steeper losses suggest books are slightly undervaluing his three-point production. His recent shooting form and the Bulls' pace-heavy approach create favorable conditions for volume, while his veteran consistency minimizes the wild variance typical of role players. The key concern is regression to career norms, as Vučević's three-point renaissance may not be entirely sustainable. However, his current role and Chicago's offensive identity support continued production above historical baselines, making overs the preferred side in favorable spots.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Vučević's consistent +0.18 differential above the 1.28 line indicates genuine market inefficiency, supported by Chicago's offensive system that maximizes his three-point opportunities. Target overs when the line sits at 1.5 or below, particularly in uptempo matchups. The main risk is natural regression, but his evolved role suggests the higher production level has staying power.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-31 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-29 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-24 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-17 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-15 | OPP | 0.5 | 3.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2025-02-11 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-02-02 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-06 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-06 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-23 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-18 | OPP | 1.5 | 6.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-17 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-10-26 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-11 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best 3-Pointers Made Prop Lines
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Nikola Vučević's 3-Pointers Made prop record all games?
Vučević has gone over his three-pointers made prop in 36 of 69 games (52.2%) with a 36-33-0 record. He averages 1.46 makes against a typical 1.28 line, showing consistent production above market expectations.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Nikola Vučević 3-Pointers Made all games?
Lean over on Vučević's three-pointers made props. His +0.18 average differential above the line and 52.2% over rate indicate market undervaluation. Target overs when the line is 1.5 or below for optimal value.
What's Nikola Vučević's average 3-Pointers Made all games?
Vučević averages 1.46 three-pointers made per game against a typical 1.28 line, creating a +0.18 differential. This consistent gap above the betting line represents genuine value that the market hasn't fully recognized.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Vučević three-point overs in uptempo games against poor perimeter defenses when the line sits at 1.5 or below. His production thrives in Chicago's pace-heavy system, particularly when game flow supports increased three-point volume.