Nick Richards blocks props present a clear under opportunity with a 38.9% over rate across 36 games. His 1.19 average blocks sits 0.17 below the typical 1.36 line, generating +16.7% ROI on unders versus -25.8% on overs. This represents a sustainable edge worth targeting.
Expert Analysis
Nick Richards blocks props reveal a systematic pricing inefficiency that sharp bettors can exploit. His 1.19 blocks average consistently falls short of the 1.36 line, creating a meaningful 0.17-block gap that translates to real profit. The 38.9% over rate across 36 games demonstrates this isn't random variance but a persistent pattern rooted in Charlotte's defensive scheme and Richards' role limitations. As a backup center logging inconsistent minutes, Richards faces the classic reserve player challenge where oddsmakers price his ceiling rather than his realistic floor. His longest under streak of five games shows how this trend can run, while the brief two-game over streak represents the exception rather than the rule. The -25.8% ROI on overs tells the complete story of a market that hasn't properly adjusted to Richards' actual production level. Charlotte's pace and defensive philosophy further suppress his block opportunities, as they often prioritize switching over rim protection. This creates a sustainable edge where the line consistently overestimates Richards' defensive impact, making unders the clear value play until the market corrects.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Nick Richards blocks unders offer legitimate value with his 1.19 average sitting well below typical 1.36 lines. The +16.7% under ROI and 61.1% hit rate create a sustainable edge rooted in role limitations and market mispricing. Target this when lines sit at 1.5 or higher, though be cautious if he's starting or facing pace-up spots that could inflate opportunities.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-23 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-19 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-16 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-15 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-13 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-11 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-08 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-01 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Nick Richards's Blocks prop record all games?
Nick Richards has gone under his blocks prop in 22 of 36 games (61.1% rate) with a 14-22-0 over/under record. His average of 1.19 blocks consistently falls short of the typical 1.36 line, creating a -0.17 differential.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Nick Richards Blocks all games?
Bet under on Nick Richards blocks props. His 61.1% under rate and +16.7% ROI on unders versus -25.8% on overs creates clear value. Target lines at 1.5 or higher for maximum edge.
What's Nick Richards's average Blocks all games?
Nick Richards averages 1.19 blocks per game across this 36-game sample. This sits 0.17 blocks below the typical 1.36 line, representing a meaningful gap that creates consistent under value for bettors.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Nick Richards blocks unders when lines are set at 1.5 or higher, particularly when he's coming off the bench in his usual reserve role. Avoid when he's starting or facing high-pace opponents.