Myles Turner's three-pointers made prop at home presents a slight edge toward overs, hitting 52.6% of the time with a modest +0.18 differential above the standard 1.5 line. Currently riding a six-game over streak, Turner's home environment appears to provide a marginal but consistent boost to his perimeter shooting volume.
Expert Analysis
Turner's 52.6% over rate at home reflects the center's evolving role in Indiana's pace-and-space offense, where his floor-stretching ability becomes more pronounced in familiar surroundings. The +0.18 differential above the 1.5 line suggests consistent value, though the minimal ROI indicates this edge is priced efficiently by the market. Turner's current six-game over streak represents his longest of the season, indicating either a hot shooting period or increased offensive responsibility that could continue. The lack of significant under streaks (longest just four games) suggests his three-point attempts remain relatively stable at home, where crowd energy and comfort level may encourage more aggressive shot selection. However, the modest sample size of 38 games and near-break-even ROI warn against overconfidence. Turner's three-point shooting can be volatile game-to-game, and his primary role remains interior defense and rebounding. The key factor driving this trend appears to be Indiana's offensive system utilizing Turner's range more effectively at home, but regression toward the mean remains a constant threat given the marginal edge.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Turner's 52.6% over rate and current six-game streak suggest home court provides a legitimate edge for his perimeter shooting. The ideal conditions involve games where Indiana faces pace-up opponents or deficit situations requiring more offensive aggression from Turner. Primary risk is the thin margin for error - just a few cold shooting nights could quickly erode this trend's profitability.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-02 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2025-02-24 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-10 | OPP | 1.5 | 5.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-05 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-01 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-18 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-16 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-13 | OPP | 1.5 | 5.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-07 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-28 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-26 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-25 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-22 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Myles Turner's 3-Pointers Made prop record home games?
Turner's three-pointers made prop has gone over in 20 of 38 home games (52.6%) this season. He's averaging 1.68 makes per game at home against the typical 1.5 line, creating a modest +0.18 differential that provides slight value for over bettors.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Myles Turner 3-Pointers Made home games?
Lean over on Turner's three-pointers made at home. His 52.6% over rate and current six-game streak indicate home court advantage for his perimeter shooting. However, the thin edge requires selective betting only in favorable game scripts or pace-up matchups.
What's Myles Turner's average 3-Pointers Made home games?
Turner averages 1.68 three-pointers made in home games, sitting 0.18 above the standard 1.5 line. This differential has produced a 52.6% over rate across 38 games, though the modest ROI indicates the market prices this edge efficiently.
How reliable is this trend?
Best spots are home games against pace-up opponents or when Indiana faces early deficits requiring offensive aggression. Turner's six-game over streak suggests current form favors overs, but avoid back-to-back games where fatigue might limit his perimeter attempts.