Myles Turner's three-pointers made prop shows a slight over bias with 35 overs in 71 games (49.3% rate) and averages 1.73 makes versus a 1.54 line. The +0.2 differential suggests modest value, though negative ROI on both sides indicates efficient pricing.
Expert Analysis
Turner's three-point prop presents a fascinating case study in modern center evolution. His 1.73 average against a 1.54 line creates a meaningful 0.19 edge that reflects his legitimate floor-spacing ability as a rim protector. The 49.3% over rate sits just below the breakeven threshold, but the negative ROI on both sides (-5.9% over, -3.2% under) reveals sharp market pricing that accounts for his inconsistent shot selection. Turner's three-point attempts correlate heavily with game flow and Indiana's pace, creating volatility that books price efficiently. His recent two-game over streak follows a pattern of clustering rather than sustainable momentum. The longest under streak of seven games demonstrates how quickly Turner can go cold from deep, often coinciding with increased post touches or foul trouble that limits his perimeter opportunities. Without pace or matchup data, the clearest edge lies in recognizing when Turner's role shifts within games. His three-point volume drops significantly when Indiana faces smaller lineups that pull him into more traditional center duties, while uptempo games against spread offenses typically boost his attempts. The market has learned to price these nuances effectively, making this prop more about timing than systematic bias.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. The +0.2 differential provides genuine value despite the negative ROI, as Turner's floor-spacing role continues expanding in modern NBA systems. Target games where Indiana faces pace-up opponents or small-ball lineups that keep Turner on the perimeter. Main risk is his inconsistent shot selection and tendency for extended cold streaks.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-06 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2025-04-02 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-29 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-27 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2025-02-24 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-16 | OPP | 1.5 | 8.0 | +6.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-10 | OPP | 1.5 | 5.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-12 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-05 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-01 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-25 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Myles Turner's 3-Pointers Made prop record all games?
Turner has hit the over 35 times in 71 games for a 49.3% over rate. His record sits at 35-36-0, just below the 52.4% breakeven needed for profitable over betting at standard -110 odds.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Myles Turner 3-Pointers Made all games?
Lean over on Turner's three-pointers made props. His 1.73 average beats the typical 1.54 line by 0.19 makes, providing legitimate value despite the 49.3% over rate falling short of breakeven.
What's Myles Turner's average 3-Pointers Made all games?
Turner averages 1.73 three-pointers made per game across 71 contests. This sits 0.19 makes above the standard 1.54 line, representing a meaningful 12.3% positive differential that creates betting value.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Turner's three-point props in uptempo games against spread offenses that keep him on the perimeter. Avoid when Indiana faces traditional big lineups that force Turner into more post-heavy roles.