Myles Turner's blocks prop at home presents a marginal edge toward overs, hitting 53.3% of the time across 30 games with a modest 1.6% ROI. His 1.6 average barely exceeds the typical 1.57 line, creating thin value. Lean over in favorable matchups.
Expert Analysis
Turner's home blocks trend reveals a player whose shot-blocking remains remarkably consistent regardless of venue, averaging 1.6 blocks per game at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. The 53.3% over rate suggests books are pricing his line accurately, leaving minimal systematic edge. Turner's rim protection style benefits from home court familiarity with defensive rotations and communication, explaining the slight uptick over his season average. The +1.8% ROI on overs indicates sustainable but modest profitability, while the -10.9% under ROI warns against fading his shot-blocking ability at home. His three-game over streak aligns with his recent defensive engagement, though regression remains possible given the narrow margins. Turner's blocks production correlates heavily with opponent pace and interior scoring attempts, making matchup analysis crucial. The lack of significant home-road splits in his shot-blocking suggests his defensive instincts translate consistently across venues. Books appear to have adjusted to his home tendencies, keeping lines tight around his actual output. The minimal 0.03 differential between average and line indicates sharp pricing, requiring selective spot-picking rather than blind backing of overs.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Turner's 53.3% over rate at home provides a slight edge, particularly against teams that attack the rim frequently or play at faster pace. The 1.6 average versus 1.57 typical line creates narrow but sustainable value. Target games where Indiana faces interior-heavy offenses or up-tempo opponents to maximize the over probability, while avoiding matchups against perimeter-oriented teams that limit his shot-blocking opportunities.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-02 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-10 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-05 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-01 | OPP | 1.5 | 5.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-18 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-16 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-13 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-07 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-28 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-26 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-25 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-22 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-08 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Myles Turner's Blocks prop record home games?
Turner's blocks prop at home shows a 16-14 over-under record (53.3% overs) across 30 games, generating a modest +1.8% ROI on over bets while under bets lose -10.9% ROI.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Myles Turner Blocks home games?
Lean over on Turner's blocks at home, but be selective. The 53.3% over rate provides slight value, especially against teams that attack the rim frequently or play fast-paced games that create more blocking opportunities.
What's Myles Turner's average Blocks home games?
Turner averages 1.6 blocks per game at home compared to the typical 1.57 line, creating a minimal +0.03 differential that suggests books have adjusted to his home tendencies with accurate pricing.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Turner blocks overs when Indiana faces interior-heavy offenses or up-tempo teams that generate more rim attempts. Avoid betting against perimeter-oriented opponents who limit his shot-blocking chances through outside shooting.