Myles Turner's blocks prop presents a clear over opportunity with a 56.1% hit rate (32-25-0) and consistent +0.27 average differential above the typical 1.59 line. The Pacers center is averaging 1.86 blocks per game while riding a current four-game over streak, making this a lean over play.
Expert Analysis
Turner's blocks advantage stems from his elite rim protection role in Indiana's defensive scheme, where he consistently ranks among the league leaders in block percentage. The 56.1% over rate isn't just noise—it reflects his ability to consistently exceed modest betting expectations set by books. His 1.86 average against a 1.59 line creates meaningful value, especially considering blocks props often carry juice that requires 55%+ accuracy to profit long-term. The current four-game over streak, while not unprecedented given his five-game over streak earlier this season, suggests he's in a particularly active defensive phase. Turner's shot-blocking prowess becomes more pronounced when facing teams with aggressive interior attacks, as his positioning and timing improve with more opportunities. However, the -16.3% ROI on unders indicates books may be adjusting lines upward, potentially eroding future value. The lack of split data limits our ability to identify optimal spots, but Turner's consistency across the full sample suggests his rim protection translates regardless of opponent or situation. His role as Indiana's primary interior defender makes him less matchup-dependent than guards, providing more predictable volume in his specialty skill.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Turner's 56.1% over rate and +0.27 differential provide legitimate edge against standard 1.5-2.0 blocks lines. The four-game over streak aligns with his defensive impact trending upward, particularly when books haven't fully adjusted to his consistent rim protection. Primary risk involves potential line inflation as books recognize the pattern, but current value remains viable for disciplined over betting.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-02 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-16 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-10 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-12 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-05 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-01 | OPP | 1.5 | 5.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-25 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-24 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-22 | OPP | 1.5 | 5.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-20 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-18 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
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Favorite vs Underdog
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Myles Turner's Blocks prop record all games?
Turner's blocks prop record stands at 32-25-0 over/under across 57 games, hitting the over 56.1% of the time. This translates to a +7.2% ROI on over bets while under bets show -16.3% ROI, indicating consistent value on the over side.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Myles Turner Blocks all games?
Bet the over on Turner's blocks props. His 56.1% over rate and +0.27 average differential above typical lines provide legitimate edge. The current four-game over streak reinforces his consistent rim protection value against betting market expectations.
What's Myles Turner's average Blocks all games?
Turner averages 1.86 blocks per game compared to the typical 1.59 betting line, creating a +0.27 differential. This consistent gap above market expectations drives the 56.1% over rate and positive ROI for over bettors throughout the season.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Turner blocks overs when lines remain at 1.5-2.0 range, particularly during his current hot streak. His rim protection role provides consistent volume regardless of matchup, making most game situations viable for over betting with proper line value.