Mike Conley's three-pointers made props show a modest edge toward overs, hitting at 53.0% over 66 games with a +0.37 differential above the typical 1.95 line. The veteran guard averages 2.32 makes per game, suggesting consistent value on over bets despite minimal ROI.
Expert Analysis
Mike Conley's three-point production reveals a veteran shooter operating above market expectations throughout the season. His 2.32 makes per game against a standard 1.95 line creates consistent value, though the 53.0% over rate suggests books have gradually adjusted to his output. The +1.2% ROI on overs indicates razor-thin margins, typical for a seasoned player whose shooting patterns are well-established. Conley's role as Minnesota's primary floor general keeps his three-point attempts relatively stable, as he benefits from consistent minutes and offensive system familiarity. The lack of dramatic splits suggests his production remains steady regardless of opponent or game situation, which actually strengthens the case for his reliability. However, the modest over percentage warns against aggressive betting, as this isn't a market inefficiency but rather a slight edge. The -10.3% under ROI reinforces that fading Conley's three-point production has been costly, likely due to his veteran savvy in shot selection and the Timberwolves' offensive system maximizing his catch-and-shoot opportunities. His current streak of one over suggests no immediate momentum shift, maintaining the established pattern of slight over tendency.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Conley's consistent 2.32 average against the 1.95 line provides sustainable value, particularly when Minnesota's pace and offensive flow favor perimeter shooting. The 53.0% over rate isn't overwhelming but represents genuine edge over a 66-game sample. Primary risk lies in the thin 1.2% ROI margins, making this a volume play rather than a high-conviction spot.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-01 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-24 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-12 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-02-06 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-25 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-20 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-18 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-29 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-15 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-01 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-12 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-10 | OPP | 1.5 | 5.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 2.5 | 5.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best 3-Pointers Made Prop Lines
Compare Mike Conley props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Mike Conley's 3-Pointers Made prop record all games?
Mike Conley's three-pointers made props have gone over 35 times and under 31 times in 66 games, producing a 53.0% over rate. This represents a modest but consistent edge toward overs throughout the season.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Mike Conley 3-Pointers Made all games?
Lean over on Mike Conley's three-pointers made props. His 2.32 average against the typical 1.95 line creates sustainable value, though the thin margins require disciplined betting and realistic profit expectations.
What's Mike Conley's average 3-Pointers Made all games?
Mike Conley averages 2.32 three-pointers made per game, which sits 0.37 above the standard 1.95 line. This differential has produced a 53.0% over rate across 66 games this season.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Mike Conley three-point overs when Minnesota plays at faster pace or against teams allowing high three-point volumes. His veteran consistency makes him less matchup-dependent than younger players, creating steady value opportunities.