Mikal Bridges has been a blocks under goldmine, hitting just 30% overs across his last 10 games while averaging 0.3 blocks against a 0.5 line. The -0.2 differential and 33.6% ROI on unders creates a compelling fade opportunity on his defensive counting stats.
Expert Analysis
Bridges' blocks struggles stem from his role transition with the Knicks, where he's operating more as a perimeter defender rather than the help-side rim protector he was in Phoenix. His 0.3 blocks per game represents a significant departure from his career baseline, suggesting either a systematic change in defensive positioning or simply poor variance luck. The 7-of-10 unders isn't just noise - it reflects how modern NBA offenses attack switching defenses differently than traditional drop coverage systems. Bridges is getting pulled away from shot-blocking opportunities as teams hunt mismatches against New York's aggressive switching scheme. The sample size of 10 games provides reasonable confidence, especially with the current 2-game under streak extending what was already a 3-game under run earlier in the sample. Most concerning for over bettors is that this isn't a pace or minutes issue - Bridges is playing his normal role but simply isn't finding himself in rim protection situations. The -42.7% ROI on overs tells the story of a market that hasn't fully adjusted to his positional reality in New York's system.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 0.3 average against a 0.5 line creates consistent value, particularly when the market hasn't corrected for Bridges' reduced shot-blocking opportunities in New York's defensive scheme. Target this prop when facing teams that spread the floor and pull defenders away from the rim. Main risk is a blowout game where garbage time creates extra possessions and desperation blocks, but the systemic factors favor continued under performance.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-06 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-23 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-19 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-13 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-04 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-02 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-13 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Mikal Bridges's Blocks prop record last 10 games?
Mikal Bridges has gone 3-7-0 over/under on his blocks prop in his last 10 games, hitting just 30% overs. He's averaging 0.3 blocks per game against the typical 0.5 line during this stretch.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Mikal Bridges Blocks last 10 games?
Bet under on Mikal Bridges blocks props. His 0.3 average vs 0.5 line and 33.6% ROI on unders creates clear value, especially given his reduced rim protection role in New York's defensive system.
What's Mikal Bridges's average Blocks last 10 games?
Mikal Bridges is averaging 0.3 blocks over his last 10 games, which sits 0.2 blocks below the standard 0.5 line. This -0.2 differential has created consistent under value throughout the sample.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Mikal Bridges blocks unders against teams that space the floor well and pull defenders away from the rim. Avoid in potential blowouts where garbage time could inflate defensive counting stats through extra possessions.