Max Strus shows clear fatigue patterns on one day rest, hitting the over just 43.8% of the time across 32 games with a concerning -16.5% ROI. His 2.44 average barely exceeds typical lines despite the small edge, creating consistent under value in this rest situation.
Expert Analysis
The numbers reveal a compelling pattern for Max Strus on one day rest that contradicts surface-level expectations. While his 2.44 average suggests modest upside against standard 2.22 lines, the 43.8% over rate tells the real story of inconsistent three-point volume in back-to-back situations. The -16.5% ROI on overs indicates the market hasn't fully adjusted to Strus's struggles with abbreviated recovery time. Cleveland's pace and offensive flow often shift when players are managing fatigue, and Strus appears particularly susceptible to these rhythm disruptions. His role as a complementary shooter means reduced touches when the offense tightens up, and one day rest scenarios frequently coincide with tougher defensive matchups or road situations that compound the challenge. The 4-game under streak represents his longest drought, but the overall pattern suggests books are slow to adjust lines downward in these spots. The positive under ROI of 7.4% demonstrates consistent market inefficiency, particularly when considering Strus's shooting variance tends to increase rather than decrease on limited rest, making him more likely to hit extremes rather than settle near his average.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 43.8% over rate combined with negative ROI on overs creates a clear edge, despite the modest average differential. Target this trend when Strus faces above-average perimeter defenses or in road games where the compounding factors align. The main risk is his ceiling remains high enough for occasional explosive nights, but the consistency favors under bettors.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-07 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-02-07 | OPP | 1.5 | 5.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2025-02-04 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-29 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-16 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-14 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-12 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-27 | OPP | 1.5 | 7.0 | +5.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-25 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-14 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-12 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-10 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-07 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best 3-Pointers Made Prop Lines
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Max Strus's 3-Pointers Made prop record 1 day rest?
Max Strus has gone 14-18 over/under on three-pointers made props with one day rest, hitting the over just 43.8% of the time across 32 games. This below-average rate suggests consistent struggles in back-to-back situations.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Max Strus 3-Pointers Made 1 day rest?
Lean under on Max Strus three-pointers made with one day rest. The 43.8% over rate and -16.5% ROI on overs indicate clear value on the under, especially against tough perimeter defenses.
What's Max Strus's average 3-Pointers Made 1 day rest?
Max Strus averages 2.44 three-pointers made on one day rest, compared to typical lines around 2.22. However, this modest 0.2 edge is misleading given his poor 43.8% over rate in these situations.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Max Strus three-pointer unders on one day rest, particularly in road games or against top-10 perimeter defenses. The 7.4% under ROI shows this trend offers consistent value when conditions align.