Max Strus's three-pointers made prop at home presents a perfectly balanced 10-10 record with minimal edge either direction. His 2.5 average barely exceeds the typical 2.25 line, while negative ROI on both sides signals efficient market pricing. This is a clear pass situation.
Expert Analysis
The Cleveland sharpshooter's home three-point production reveals a market operating at peak efficiency. Strus averages 2.5 makes against a 2.25 line, creating just a 0.2 differential that gets swallowed by juice. The perfectly split 10-10 record over 20 games suggests his home environment provides neither significant boost nor hindrance to his perimeter shooting. Cleveland's Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse doesn't appear to offer the shooter-friendly conditions that create exploitable edges. The negative ROI on both sides (-4.5%) indicates the sportsbooks have dialed in this number precisely. Strus's role as a floor-spacing wing means his attempts remain relatively consistent, but without clear patterns in his home shooting efficiency or volume spikes, there's no compelling reason to expect regression in either direction. The brief current streak of one under doesn't establish meaningful momentum, and his longest streaks in both directions capped at just three games, showing no extreme volatility. This represents textbook market efficiency where the line accurately reflects his true talent level in this specific environment.
Betting Verdict
PASS with HIGH confidence. The perfectly balanced 10-10 record and negative ROI on both sides screams efficient market pricing. Strus's minimal 0.2 edge over the line gets erased by juice, making this a break-even proposition at best. Without clear home court advantages or exploitable patterns, this prop offers no sustainable edge for serious bettors.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-04 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-25 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-12 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-12 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-10 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-27 | OPP | 1.5 | 7.0 | +5.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-14 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-12 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-05 | OPP | 1.5 | 6.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-31 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-29 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-11 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-07 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-05 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-03 | OPP | 3.5 | 6.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Max Strus's 3-Pointers Made prop record home games?
Max Strus has gone 10-10 on his three-pointers made prop in home games, hitting exactly 50% of overs across 20 games. His average of 2.5 makes creates minimal separation from the standard 2.25 line.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Max Strus 3-Pointers Made home games?
Neither side offers sustainable value. The perfectly balanced 10-10 record and negative ROI on both overs and unders indicate efficient market pricing. This prop should be avoided entirely by serious bettors.
What's Max Strus's average 3-Pointers Made home games?
Strus averages 2.5 three-pointers made in home games compared to the typical 2.25 line. This creates just a 0.2 differential, which is insufficient to overcome standard betting juice and provide meaningful edge.
How reliable is this trend?
There is no optimal time to bet Max Strus three-pointers made props at home. The consistent market efficiency and lack of exploitable patterns make this a permanent pass regardless of conditions or recent form.