Max Strus's three-pointers made prop shows clear under value in away games, hitting over just 41.4% of the time across 29 games. His 2.31 average barely exceeds typical lines, generating +11.9% ROI on unders versus -21.0% on overs, creating a sustainable edge.
Expert Analysis
The numbers paint a clear picture of Max Strus struggling with his three-point consistency on the road. His 41.4% over rate across 29 away games represents a significant deviation from the 52.4% break-even point needed for profitable over betting. The modest 0.1 differential between his 2.31 average and typical 2.22 lines suggests books haven't fully adjusted to his road shooting variance. Cleveland's offensive system relies heavily on ball movement and created looks, but road environments often disrupt timing and rhythm for role players like Strus. His shooting mechanics and release remain consistent, but the psychological and environmental factors of hostile crowds, unfamiliar rims, and altered pre-game routines compound to create measurable performance dips. The -21.0% ROI on overs versus +11.9% on unders represents a 32.9-point swing that's too large to ignore. Strus's current streak of one under continues a pattern where his longest under streak reached three games, indicating clustering of poor shooting nights. The lack of split data prevents deeper situational analysis, but the core trend shows remarkable persistence across nearly 30 games, suggesting structural rather than random factors drive this pattern.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 41.4% over rate and +11.9% under ROI provide clear mathematical edges, though the modest average differential limits upside. Target games where Strus faces elite perimeter defenses or plays in notoriously difficult shooting environments. Main risk involves positive regression as the sample grows, but current data supports continued under betting until the trend breaks meaningfully.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-07 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-02-07 | OPP | 1.5 | 5.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-29 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-16 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-14 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-06 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-03 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-28 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-25 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-10 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-08 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-07 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-03 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Max Strus's 3-Pointers Made prop record away games?
Max Strus has gone over his three-pointers made prop in just 12 of 29 away games (41.4%). This 12-17 record represents a significant under-performance compared to the roughly 52% rate needed for profitable over betting.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Max Strus 3-Pointers Made away games?
Bet under on Max Strus's three-pointers made in away games. The 41.4% over rate and +11.9% under ROI provide clear mathematical edges, especially when he faces strong perimeter defenses on the road.
What's Max Strus's average 3-Pointers Made away games?
Max Strus averages 2.31 three-pointers made in away games, just 0.1 above typical 2.22 lines. This minimal edge suggests books haven't fully adjusted to his road shooting struggles, creating under value.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Max Strus under bets in challenging road environments against elite defensive teams. His shooting consistency drops in hostile venues, making unders most profitable when environmental factors compound his road struggles.