Fade UNDER
2-8 O/U Record
20.0% Over Rate
-6.2u Units Won
-61.8% ROI
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Max Strus blocks under has been a cash cow, hitting 8 of 10 times (80%) over his last 10 games with a scorching +52.7% ROI. Averaging just 0.3 blocks against a 0.5 line, Strus is consistently falling short by 0.2 blocks per game. This is a clear lean under situation.

Expert Analysis

Max Strus's blocking struggles stem from his role as a perimeter-focused wing player who rarely ventures into rim protection territory. At 6'6" with average athleticism, Strus lacks the instincts and positioning of natural shot blockers, instead focusing his defensive energy on perimeter rotations and closeouts. His 0.3 blocks per game over this 10-game stretch represents his true baseline production, not an aberration. The consistency is striking - he's managed just two games over 0.5 blocks in this sample, with his longest over streak being a meager single game compared to three consecutive unders currently. Wing players like Strus typically see their block numbers remain stable unless their role dramatically shifts, which hasn't happened in Cleveland's system. His defensive value comes through steals and disrupting passing lanes, not rim protection. The -0.2 differential between his average and the line suggests books may be slightly overvaluing his block potential based on his size rather than his actual defensive skill set and role.

Betting Verdict

LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Strus's peripheral defensive role and consistent underperformance make this a solid trend play. The 80% under rate with strong ROI indicates genuine value, not just variance. Best spots are when he's listed at 0.5 blocks, his most common line. Main risk is a blowout game where garbage time creates extra possessions, but his three-game under streak and role consistency support continued fading.

2 OVERS (20.0%)
8 UNDERS
0% 50% breakeven 100%

Performance vs Line

Game Log (Last 10 Games)

Date Opp Line Actual +/- Result
2024-04-12 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-04-10 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-04-06 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-04-03 OPP 0.5 1.0 +0.5 OVER
2024-04-02 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-03-31 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-02-28 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-02-27 OPP 0.5 2.0 +1.5 OVER
2024-02-25 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-02-14 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER

Key Splits

Home vs Away

Home 25.0% Over
Away 16.7% Over

Favorite vs Underdog

Favorite 50.0% Over
Underdog 50.0% Over

Recent Trend

Last 5 20.0% Over
Last 10 20.0% Over

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Max Strus's Blocks prop record last 10 games?

Max Strus has gone under his blocks prop in 8 of his last 10 games (80% under rate), posting just a 2-8-0 over/under record. This represents one of the strongest under trends among role players.

Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Max Strus Blocks last 10 games?

Bet under on Max Strus blocks props. His 80% under rate and +52.7% ROI on unders over 10 games shows clear value, especially at the standard 0.5 line where he consistently falls short.

What's Max Strus's average Blocks last 10 games?

Max Strus is averaging 0.3 blocks over his last 10 games, falling 0.2 blocks short of the typical 0.5 line. This differential represents consistent underperformance rather than temporary regression to the mean.

How reliable is this trend?

Target Max Strus blocks unders when he's listed at 0.5 blocks in regular rotation games. Avoid during potential blowouts where garbage time could inflate his opportunities, but his role consistency makes most spots viable.

Methodology: This analysis covers 10 games from 2024-02-14 to 2024-04-12. O/U results use closing prop lines. ROI assumes -110 juice. Pushes excluded from percentages.