Fade UNDER
7-11 O/U Record
38.9% Over Rate
-4.6u Units Won
-25.8% ROI
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Max Strus shows a pronounced under bias in away blocks props, hitting under 0.5 blocks in 61.1% of road games with a 7-11-0 record. The -0.1 differential between his 0.39 average and standard 0.5 line creates consistent value on unders, generating +16.7% ROI.

Expert Analysis

Max Strus's away blocks trend reflects the reality of his defensive role and physical limitations on the road. As a 6'5" wing primarily tasked with perimeter defense and floor spacing, Strus lacks the rim protection responsibilities that generate consistent block opportunities. His 0.39 blocks per away game sits meaningfully below the standard 0.5 line, indicating books haven't fully adjusted to his limited shot-blocking profile in road environments. The 38.9% over rate across 18 games provides substantial sample size confidence, while the longest under streak of six games demonstrates the sustainability of this trend. Road games often feature different rotations and matchup adjustments that can further limit Strus's interior defensive opportunities. The Cavaliers' defensive scheme typically positions Strus on the perimeter, where blocks become incidental rather than systematic. His role as a floor-spacer means he's often pulled away from the basket during defensive possessions, reducing his chances for help-side blocks. The consistency of this under performance, combined with the meaningful ROI differential, suggests this isn't random variance but a reflection of his actual defensive deployment and physical limitations in away environments.

Betting Verdict

LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 61.1% under rate and +16.7% ROI provide solid mathematical backing, while Strus's perimeter-focused defensive role limits block opportunities regardless of venue. Target this prop when the line sits at 0.5, particularly against teams that don't heavily attack the rim or in games where Cleveland projects to play more zone coverage. The main risk is random variance in a low-frequency stat, but the sample size and role-based reasoning support continued under value.

7 OVERS (38.9%)
11 UNDERS
0% 50% breakeven 100%

Performance vs Line

Game Log (Last 15 Games)

Date Opp Line Actual +/- Result
2024-04-06 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-04-03 OPP 0.5 1.0 +0.5 OVER
2024-04-02 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-03-31 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-02-28 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-02-25 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-02-10 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-02-08 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-02-07 OPP 0.5 1.0 +0.5 OVER
2024-02-03 OPP 0.5 1.0 +0.5 OVER
2024-01-26 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-01-01 OPP 0.5 1.0 +0.5 OVER
2023-12-23 OPP 0.5 1.0 +0.5 OVER
2023-12-14 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2023-12-11 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER

Key Splits

Home vs Away

Home 50.0% Over
Away 38.9% Over

Favorite vs Underdog

Favorite 50.0% Over
Underdog 50.0% Over

Recent Trend

Last 5 20.0% Over
Last 10 30.0% Over

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Max Strus's Blocks prop record away games?

Max Strus has gone 7-11-0 on blocks overs in away games, hitting the under in 61.1% of his 18 road contests. His under bets have generated a positive 16.7% ROI while overs have lost 25.8%.

Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Max Strus Blocks away games?

Bet under on Max Strus blocks in away games. His 0.39 average sits below the typical 0.5 line, and his perimeter defensive role limits block opportunities, making unders the mathematically superior play.

What's Max Strus's average Blocks away games?

Max Strus averages 0.39 blocks per away game, which is 0.1 blocks below the standard 0.5 line. This differential creates consistent value on under bets across his road game sample.

How reliable is this trend?

Target Max Strus blocks unders in away games when facing teams with limited interior offense or when Cleveland projects for zone coverage that keeps him away from rim protection duties.

Methodology: This analysis covers 18 games from 2023-11-08 to 2024-04-06. O/U results use closing prop lines. ROI assumes -110 juice. Pushes excluded from percentages.