Max Strus has hit the assists over in exactly half his games over the last 10 contests, posting a 5-5-0 record with a modest +0.2 differential above his 2.8 average line. The flat ROI and minimal edge suggest this prop lacks clear directional value.
Expert Analysis
Strus's assist production reveals a player caught between roles in Cleveland's system. His 3.0 average represents steady facilitation from the wing position, but the 50% hit rate indicates inconsistent usage patterns rather than reliable playmaking opportunities. The +0.2 differential above the 2.8 line appears insignificant, especially considering the -4.5% ROI on both sides suggests the market has efficiently priced this prop. What's particularly telling is the lack of meaningful streaks - his longest run in either direction spans just two games, indicating game-to-game volatility driven by matchup-specific factors rather than sustainable trends. This volatility likely stems from Strus's secondary role in Cleveland's offense, where his assist opportunities depend heavily on ball movement patterns and whether primary creators like Donovan Mitchell and Darius Garland are facilitating or hunting their own shots. The absence of clear splits data makes it difficult to identify optimal betting spots, but the even distribution suggests Strus's assist totals are more random than predictable. Without additional context about pace, usage, or opponent-specific matchups, this trend appears to be statistical noise rather than exploitable information.
Betting Verdict
PASS with LOW confidence. The perfectly balanced 5-5 record and negative ROI on both sides indicate an efficiently priced market with no clear edge. Strus's assist production appears too matchup-dependent and role-specific to generate consistent value. Without identifying specific game conditions that correlate with higher assist totals, this prop represents a coin flip with built-in house edge rather than an opportunity for profitable betting.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-07 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-02-07 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-02-04 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-29 | OPP | 3.5 | 6.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-25 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-16 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-14 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-12 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-12 | OPP | 3.5 | 9.0 | +5.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-10 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Assists Prop Lines
Compare Max Strus props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Max Strus's Assists prop record last 10 games?
Max Strus has gone 5-5-0 on his assists over/under in the last 10 games, hitting exactly 50% of overs with an average of 3.0 assists against a typical 2.8 line, showing balanced but unpredictable production.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Max Strus Assists last 10 games?
Neither side offers clear value. The 50% hit rate and -4.5% ROI on both overs and unders indicate an efficiently priced market. Pass on this prop until clearer patterns or advantageous lines emerge.
What's Max Strus's average Assists last 10 games?
Strus is averaging 3.0 assists over his last 10 games compared to his typical 2.8 line, creating a modest +0.2 positive differential that hasn't translated into profitable betting opportunities given market efficiency.
How reliable is this trend?
Based on current data, there's no optimal betting window for Strus assists props. The lack of meaningful streaks or splits data suggests waiting for specific matchup advantages or line value rather than betting this trend.