Malik Beasley's three-point production has been severely disappointing, hitting the over in just 30% of his last 10 games while averaging 2.6 makes against a 3.5 line. The under has delivered a robust 33.6% ROI, making it the clear value play moving forward.
Expert Analysis
Beasley's three-point struggles reflect a perfect storm of declining efficiency and reduced opportunity within Detroit's evolving offensive system. The 0.9-make deficit against his typical line suggests books haven't fully adjusted to his current role limitations. His 30% over rate indicates this isn't random variance but a systematic shift in his offensive profile. The Pistons' increased pace and ball movement have paradoxically hurt Beasley's catch-and-shoot opportunities, as younger players like Ausar Thompson and Marcus Sasser have absorbed more perimeter touches. Detroit's improved interior scoring has also reduced their reliance on volume three-point shooting from role players. The four-game under streak within this sample demonstrates consistency in his reduced output. Most concerning for over bettors is Beasley's shot selection becoming more contested as defenses key on Detroit's limited shooting threats. His averaging 2.6 makes suggests he's settling into a more complementary role rather than the primary floor-spacer the line implies. The -42.7% over ROI reflects not just poor results but a fundamental misalignment between expectation and reality in his current usage pattern.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Beasley's 2.6 average against the 3.5 line represents genuine role regression rather than temporary shooting variance. The under's 33.6% ROI and 70% hit rate provide strong value, especially with Detroit's offensive evolution limiting his catch-and-shoot opportunities. Main risk is potential lineup changes that could restore his volume, but current trends strongly favor continued under performance.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-02 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-15 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-13 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-11 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-02-28 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-16 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-12 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-30 | OPP | 4.5 | 2.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-28 | OPP | 2.5 | 6.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best 3-Pointers Made Prop Lines
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Malik Beasley's 3-Pointers Made prop record last 10 games?
Malik Beasley has gone 3-7-0 on his Three Pointers Made over/under in his last 10 games, hitting the over just 30% of the time. The under has been profitable with a 33.6% ROI during this stretch.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Malik Beasley 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?
Bet the under on Malik Beasley's Three Pointers Made props. His 2.6 average against typical 3.5 lines creates consistent value, with the under hitting 70% of the time and delivering solid returns.
What's Malik Beasley's average 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?
Malik Beasley has averaged 2.6 three-pointers made over his last 10 games, nearly a full make below the typical 3.5 line. This 0.9-make deficit represents significant negative value for over bettors.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Malik Beasley under props when Detroit faces strong perimeter defenses or in games with slower projected pace. His reduced role in the Pistons' current system makes unders most profitable in standard game scripts.