Kyrie Irving's three-point prop has hit the over in 60% of his last 10 games, with his 3.4 average sitting 0.2 makes above the typical 3.2 line. The +14.6% ROI on overs suggests genuine value, making this a lean over situation.
Expert Analysis
Irving's recent three-point surge reflects his expanded role in Dallas's offensive system, where he's functioning as both a primary scorer and floor spacer alongside Luka Dončić. The 3.4 average represents a meaningful uptick from his season norm, driven by increased catch-and-shoot opportunities and improved shot selection. The 60% over rate isn't just random variance—it's supported by Dallas's faster pace and Irving's comfort level in their spacing-heavy sets. The +14.6% ROI on overs indicates the market has been slow to adjust to this elevated output level. However, the modest 0.2 differential between his average and the line suggests oddsmakers are catching up. The biggest risk is regression to his historical mean, particularly if Dallas faces elite perimeter defenses that can disrupt their rhythm. Irving's three-point shooting has always been streaky, and this sample size, while encouraging, doesn't guarantee future performance. The lack of split data limits our ability to identify optimal spots, but the overall trend suggests Irving is genuinely shooting more threes per game in this current role.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Irving's 3.4 average exceeding the typical 3.2 line by 0.2 makes, combined with the positive 14.6% ROI, suggests the market hasn't fully adjusted to his increased three-point volume in Dallas's system. The risk is regression, but his expanded role and improved shot quality support continued elevated output.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-10 | OPP | 3.5 | 5.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-04 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-26 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-25 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-21 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best 3-Pointers Made Prop Lines
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Kyrie Irving's 3-Pointers Made prop record last 10 games?
Irving has gone over his three-pointers made prop in 6 of his last 10 games (60% rate) with a 6-4-0 over/under record. His average of 3.4 makes exceeds the typical 3.2 line by 0.2, generating +14.6% ROI on overs.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Kyrie Irving 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?
Lean over on Irving's three-pointers made props. His 3.4 average beats the 3.2 line consistently, with 60% overs and positive ROI indicating the market hasn't adjusted to his increased volume in Dallas's system.
What's Kyrie Irving's average 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?
Irving is averaging 3.4 three-pointers made over his last 10 games, which sits 0.2 makes above the typical 3.2 line. This differential has produced a 60% over rate and +14.6% return on investment.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Irving's three-point overs when Dallas plays up-tempo games or faces weaker perimeter defenses. His expanded role as a floor spacer creates consistent catch-and-shoot opportunities that the current lines haven't fully captured.