Kyrie Irving's three-pointers made prop shows a dead-even 49.0% over rate across 49 games, with his 3.0 average barely exceeding the typical 2.87 line. The minimal edge and negative ROI on both sides suggest this is a coin flip market with little exploitable value.
Expert Analysis
Irving's three-point prop represents one of the most efficiently priced markets in basketball, with his 49.0% over rate essentially matching fair odds. The veteran guard's 3.0 average sits just 0.13 makes above the standard line, creating a razor-thin margin that gets swallowed by juice. This precision reflects Irving's consistent role and shot selection in Dallas, where his usage as a secondary creator behind Luka Dončić has stabilized his three-point volume. The negative ROI on both sides (-6.5% over, -2.6% under) confirms books have this number dialed in perfectly. Irving's alternating streaks of four overs and four unders demonstrate the random walk nature of three-point variance, with no discernible pattern emerging over nearly 50 games. His shooting ability remains elite, but volume consistency in Dallas's system has eliminated the volatility that creates betting edges. The lack of meaningful splits or situational advantages further supports avoiding this prop, as Irving's three-point attempts show remarkable stability regardless of opponent, location, or game script. This is textbook market efficiency.
Betting Verdict
PASS with HIGH confidence. This represents a perfectly efficient market where books have eliminated any edge through precise line-setting. Irving's 49.0% over rate with negative ROI on both sides screams avoid, as you're essentially flipping coins with house juice. The minimal 0.13 average-to-line differential offers no meaningful value, and the consistent volume in Dallas provides no situational angles to exploit.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-10 | OPP | 3.5 | 5.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-04 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-26 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-25 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-21 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-19 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-17 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-13 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-11 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-09 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Kyrie Irving's 3-Pointers Made prop record all games?
Irving's three-pointers made prop went over in 24 of 49 games (49.0%) with an average of 3.0 makes against a typical 2.87 line, showing remarkably balanced results that favor neither side consistently.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Kyrie Irving 3-Pointers Made all games?
Pass on Irving's three-pointers made props entirely. The 49.0% over rate with negative ROI on both sides represents a perfectly efficient market where books have eliminated any betting edge through precise pricing.
What's Kyrie Irving's average 3-Pointers Made all games?
Irving averages 3.0 three-pointers made per game compared to the standard 2.87 line, creating just a 0.13 differential that's too narrow to overcome juice and provide consistent value for bettors.
How reliable is this trend?
There's no optimal time to bet Irving's three-point props given the market efficiency. His consistent role in Dallas eliminates situational advantages, making this a coin flip regardless of matchup or game context.