Kyle Lowry's three-pointer props have been profitable on the under with a 40% over rate and -23.6% ROI on overs versus +14.6% on unders. His 1.4 average exactly matches typical lines, but the distribution heavily favors under outcomes. Lean under with medium confidence.
Expert Analysis
Kyle Lowry's three-point shooting profile over his last 10 games reveals a veteran guard whose role has shifted toward facilitating rather than volume shooting. At 38 years old, Lowry's shot selection has become increasingly selective, leading to fewer three-point attempts per game than his career averages. The 1.4 makes per game average perfectly aligning with standard lines creates a false sense of equilibrium, but the underlying distribution tells a different story. Lowry's shooting has been inconsistent game-to-game, with several performances featuring zero or one made three-pointers offsetting the occasional multi-make games. This inconsistency stems from Philadelphia's offensive hierarchy, where Lowry often defers to higher-usage players like Joel Embiid and Tyrese Maxey. His minutes have also fluctuated based on game flow and matchups, directly impacting his three-point opportunities. The veteran's court awareness means he's taking higher-quality looks, but fewer overall attempts. With Philadelphia's playoff positioning secured during this sample, there were games where Lowry's role was minimized in blowouts or rest situations. The trend toward under outcomes reflects a player whose three-point production has become more dependent on game script and role than raw shooting ability.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 14.6% ROI advantage on unders combined with Lowry's reduced offensive role in Philadelphia's hierarchy creates sustainable value. Target games where Lowry faces defensive pressure or when Philadelphia has other primary scorers healthy, as his attempts typically decrease. Main risk is playoff-intensity games where his veteran leadership translates to increased shot attempts.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-16 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-14 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-12 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-10 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-08 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-17 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best 3-Pointers Made Prop Lines
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Kyle Lowry's 3-Pointers Made prop record last 10 games?
Kyle Lowry went 4-6-0 over/under on his three-pointers made props in his last 10 games, hitting the over just 40% of the time. This translates to a -23.6% ROI for over bettors while under bettors enjoyed a profitable +14.6% return.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Kyle Lowry 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?
Bet under on Kyle Lowry's three-pointers made props. The data shows a clear edge with unders hitting 60% of the time and generating positive ROI. His reduced role and inconsistent attempts favor under outcomes in most game situations.
What's Kyle Lowry's average 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?
Kyle Lowry averaged exactly 1.4 three-pointers made over his last 10 games, which perfectly matches typical betting lines. However, this average masks significant game-to-game variance that has consistently favored under outcomes despite the neutral differential.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Kyle Lowry three-pointer unders when Philadelphia has their full complement of scorers healthy, limiting his shot attempts. Also consider unders in games with clear favorites where blowout potential could reduce his minutes and shooting opportunities.