Kyle Lowry's three-point prop presents a clear under edge with just 38.9% overs across 18 games this season. His 1.5 average exactly matches the typical line, but the under delivers +16.7% ROI versus -25.8% for overs. The data strongly favors betting under on Lowry's three-point props.
Expert Analysis
Kyle Lowry's three-point production reveals a veteran guard whose role has shifted dramatically in Philadelphia's system. At 38 years old, Lowry's shot selection has become increasingly conservative, reflected in his exact 1.5 average that sits right at the betting line. The concerning factor for over bettors is the consistency of his struggles - hitting the over in just 7 of 18 games represents a systematic issue rather than random variance. Lowry's reduced minutes and secondary role behind Tyrese Maxey limits his three-point opportunities, while his veteran savvy leads him to prioritize higher-percentage shots over volume attempts. The -25.8% ROI on overs suggests the market hasn't fully adjusted to his diminished three-point role, creating persistent value on the under. His balanced streaking pattern (longest runs of 3 games either way) indicates this isn't about hot or cold shooting but rather consistent role-based limitations. The 61.1% under rate across nearly a full season sample provides strong evidence that books are pricing his line too high, likely based on his historical reputation rather than current usage patterns.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 61.1% under rate and +16.7% ROI create clear value, but the exact 1.5 average matching typical lines suggests proper market pricing in theory. Target games where Lowry faces strong perimeter defenses or in blowout scenarios where his minutes could be limited. The main risk is Philadelphia falling behind early, forcing increased three-point attempts in catch-up situations.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-16 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-14 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-12 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-10 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-08 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-17 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-08 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-03 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-25 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-02 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-11-16 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Kyle Lowry's 3-Pointers Made prop record all games?
Kyle Lowry's three-point prop record shows 7 overs and 11 unders across 18 games, hitting the over just 38.9% of the time. This represents a clear pattern favoring under bets with consistent results throughout the season sample.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Kyle Lowry 3-Pointers Made all games?
Bet under on Kyle Lowry's three-point props. The 61.1% under rate and +16.7% ROI provide clear value, while overs show -25.8% ROI. His reduced role and conservative shot selection consistently limit three-point volume.
What's Kyle Lowry's average 3-Pointers Made all games?
Kyle Lowry averages exactly 1.5 three-pointers made per game, which typically matches the betting line of 1.5. Despite the even average, he fails to hit the over 61.1% of the time, creating under value.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Kyle Lowry under props when Philadelphia faces strong perimeter defenses or in potential blowout games where his minutes might be reduced. Avoid when the 76ers are significant underdogs requiring increased three-point volume.