Fade UNDER
15-19 O/U Record
44.1% Over Rate
-5.4u Units Won
-15.8% ROI
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Kyle Kuzma's three-point shooting away from home presents a clear under opportunity, hitting just 44.1% of overs across 34 road games. His 2.06 average sits 0.35 makes below the typical 2.41 line, generating +6.7% ROI on unders while overs bleed -15.8%. The current five-game under streak reinforces this road shooting struggle.

Expert Analysis

Kuzma's road three-point woes stem from Washington's offensive dysfunction away from home, where the team's pace and shot quality deteriorate significantly. The forward's 2.06 road average versus his likely higher home rate suggests genuine environmental factors at play - hostile crowds affecting rhythm, unfamiliar sight lines, and the Wizards' tendency to abandon their offensive structure in difficult road environments. The -0.35 differential to betting lines indicates books haven't fully adjusted to this split, creating persistent value. His current five-game under streak isn't random variance but reflects deeper issues with shot selection and offensive flow on the road. The 44.1% over rate across 34 games provides robust sample size confidence, while the +6.7% under ROI demonstrates sustainable profit potential. Most concerning for over backers is how this trend has strengthened recently, suggesting the gap between his road and overall three-point production is widening rather than regressing to the mean.

Betting Verdict

LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Kuzma's road three-point struggles create a sustainable edge with books consistently overvaluing his away shooting at 2.41. The ideal spot comes against defensively sound teams that can further disrupt Washington's offensive rhythm. Primary risk involves potential lineup changes or increased usage that could force more attempts, but the current five-game under streak suggests this trend remains strong.

15 OVERS (44.1%)
19 UNDERS
0% 50% breakeven 100%

Performance vs Line

Game Log (Last 15 Games)

Date Opp Line Actual +/- Result
2024-03-16 OPP 1.5 0.0 -1.5 UNDER
2024-03-14 OPP 2.5 0.0 -2.5 UNDER
2024-03-12 OPP 2.5 1.0 -1.5 UNDER
2024-03-10 OPP 2.5 2.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-03-04 OPP 2.5 2.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-03-01 OPP 2.5 5.0 +2.5 OVER
2024-02-29 OPP 2.5 4.0 +1.5 OVER
2024-02-23 OPP 2.5 0.0 -2.5 UNDER
2024-02-22 OPP 1.5 6.0 +4.5 OVER
2024-02-12 OPP 2.5 1.0 -1.5 UNDER
2024-02-09 OPP 2.5 3.0 +0.5 OVER
2024-01-29 OPP 2.5 0.0 -2.5 UNDER
2024-01-27 OPP 2.5 3.0 +0.5 OVER
2024-01-18 OPP 2.5 1.0 -1.5 UNDER
2024-01-13 OPP 2.5 3.0 +0.5 OVER

Key Splits

Home vs Away

Home 50.0% Over
Away 44.1% Over

Favorite vs Underdog

Favorite 50.0% Over
Underdog 50.0% Over

Recent Trend

Last 5 0.0% Over
Last 10 30.0% Over

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Kyle Kuzma's 3-Pointers Made prop record away games?

Kyle Kuzma has gone over his three-pointers made prop in just 15 of 34 away games (44.1% rate) while going under 19 times. His road record shows a clear pattern of underperformance versus betting expectations.

Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Kyle Kuzma 3-Pointers Made away games?

Bet under on Kuzma's three-pointers made in away games. His 2.06 road average sits well below typical 2.41 lines, generating +6.7% ROI on unders while overs lose -15.8% long-term.

What's Kyle Kuzma's average 3-Pointers Made away games?

Kuzma averages 2.06 three-pointers made in away games, which runs 0.35 makes below the standard 2.41 betting line. This significant gap creates consistent value on under bets throughout the season.

How reliable is this trend?

Target Kuzma three-point unders in away games against strong defensive teams that can further disrupt Washington's offensive flow. Avoid when he's listed questionable or dealing with increased usage due to teammate absences.

Methodology: This analysis covers 34 games from 2023-10-25 to 2024-03-16. O/U results use closing prop lines. ROI assumes -110 juice. Pushes excluded from percentages.