Kristaps Porziņģis three-pointers made props have hit the over at a 55.1% rate across 49 games, generating a solid +5.2% ROI on overs while unders have been costly at -14.3%. His 1.96 average exceeds the typical 1.81 line by 0.15 makes per game. Lean over despite the current 5-game under streak.
Expert Analysis
The Celtics' spacing-heavy system maximizes Porziņģis's three-point opportunities, with his 7-foot frame creating mismatches that force defenses into difficult coverage decisions. His 1.96 average significantly outpacing the standard 1.81 line suggests consistent market inefficiency, likely due to books undervaluing his increased usage in Boston's motion offense compared to his Washington days. The +5.2% ROI on overs across nearly 50 games indicates sustainable edge rather than variance-driven results. However, the current 5-game under streak raises questions about recent shot selection or defensive adjustments. Porziņģis thrives when the Celtics push pace and create early offense, but struggles when games slow down or he's forced into post-up situations. The lack of split data limits our ability to identify optimal spots, but his overall volume and efficiency metrics support continued over betting. The concerning -14.3% under ROI suggests the market has been slow to adjust to his elevated three-point role, creating ongoing value on the over side despite recent regression.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. The 55.1% hit rate and strong +5.2% ROI over 49 games outweighs the recent 5-game under streak, which appears to be natural variance rather than a fundamental shift. Porziņģis averaging 1.96 makes against a 1.81 line provides consistent value. Target games where Boston faces up-tempo opponents or when the Celtics are favored by significant margins, as these scenarios maximize his three-point attempts.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-11 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-29 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-02-26 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-02-06 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-02-04 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-02-02 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-27 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-10 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-07 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-05 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-25 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-01 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-03 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-01 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-30 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Kristaps Porziņģis's 3-Pointers Made prop record all games?
Kristaps Porziņģis has gone over his three-pointers made prop in 27 of 49 games (55.1%) this season. His overs have generated a +5.2% ROI while unders have lost -14.3%, showing clear market inefficiency favoring the over.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Kristaps Porziņģis 3-Pointers Made all games?
Bet over on Kristaps Porziņģis three-pointers made props. His 55.1% over rate and +5.2% ROI across 49 games provides sustainable edge. The recent 5-game under streak appears to be variance rather than a trend shift.
What's Kristaps Porziņģis's average 3-Pointers Made all games?
Kristaps Porziņģis averages 1.96 three-pointers made per game, which exceeds the typical 1.81 line by 0.15 makes. This consistent outperformance of market expectations creates ongoing value on over bets throughout the season.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Porziņģis three-point overs when Boston faces high-pace opponents or holds significant betting favorites. These scenarios maximize his attempts within the Celtics' spacing system, though the lack of detailed splits limits more specific situational edges.