Kris Murray's three-point prop presents a clear under opportunity with only 40% overs hitting across his last 10 games. The Portland forward is averaging 1.5 makes against a typical 1.2 line, but the under has delivered a solid 14.6% ROI while overs have burned -23.6%. This trend favors continued under betting.
Expert Analysis
Murray's three-point struggles reflect Portland's late-season developmental focus and his inconsistent role within their rotation. The 4-6-0 over/under record masks deeper issues with his shot selection and opportunities. While his 1.5 average suggests modest success, the negative ROI on overs indicates the market has been slow to adjust to his actual output patterns. Murray's three-point attempts have been sporadic, heavily influenced by game flow and Portland's emphasis on getting younger players extended run. The Trail Blazers' pace and offensive system don't consistently generate quality looks for Murray from beyond the arc. His shooting mechanics remain a work in progress, and the pressure of meeting inflated lines has contributed to forced attempts. The current streak of one under suggests recent market correction, but the underlying factors haven't changed. Murray's role as a developing player means his three-point volume will continue fluctuating based on matchups and developmental priorities rather than consistent offensive schemes. The 14.6% under ROI demonstrates real value exists when betting against inflated expectations.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Murray's 40% over rate and negative ROI on overs indicates the market hasn't fully adjusted to his inconsistent three-point production. The under's 14.6% ROI provides clear value, especially when Portland prioritizes development over offensive efficiency. Target unders when lines sit at 1.5 or higher, as Murray's role limitations make consistent three-point volume unlikely. Main risk is a hot shooting night in garbage time.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-11 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-05 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-03 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-01 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 3.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-18 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Kris Murray's 3-Pointers Made prop record last 10 games?
Murray has gone 4-6-0 on three-point overs in his last 10 games, hitting just 40% of over bets. He's averaging 1.5 makes per game against typical lines around 1.2, but the low over rate shows consistency issues.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Kris Murray 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?
Bet the under on Murray's three-point props. The 14.6% ROI on unders versus -23.6% on overs shows clear value. His inconsistent role in Portland's system makes reliable three-point volume difficult to achieve consistently.
What's Kris Murray's average 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?
Murray averages 1.5 three-pointers made over his last 10 games, which is 0.3 above the typical 1.2 line. However, this modest edge hasn't translated to consistent over success, hitting just 40% of the time.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Murray three-point unders when lines reach 1.5 or higher, especially in games where Portland emphasizes development over competitive play. His inconsistent role and shooting mechanics make inflated lines particularly vulnerable to under results.