Kris Murray's blocks prop presents a clear under opportunity with a 60% hit rate and +14.6% ROI on unders. The Trail Blazers forward averages exactly 0.5 blocks against the standard 0.5 line, but the under trend shows consistency with a longest streak of four games. Lean under with medium confidence.
Expert Analysis
Kris Murray's blocks production reveals a player operating within narrow defensive parameters that favor under betting. His 0.5 average perfectly matches the typical line, but the 60% under rate suggests bookmakers may be overvaluing his shot-blocking potential based on positional expectations rather than actual production patterns. The longest under streak of four games indicates sustained periods where Murray fails to register a block, likely reflecting his role in Portland's defensive scheme where he's positioned more for rebounding and perimeter defense rather than rim protection. The recent two-game over streak appears to be variance rather than a meaningful shift, especially given the small sample size and the fact that blocks are highly volatile stats that can fluctuate dramatically game-to-game. Murray's 6'8" frame suggests blocking ability, but his actual deployment and the Trail Blazers' defensive system seem to limit his opportunities for consistent shot-blocking. The -23.6% ROI on overs reinforces that betting the over has been a losing proposition, while the under's positive return indicates a sustainable edge. Without significant changes to his role or playing time, Murray's blocks production should continue favoring the under, particularly in games where Portland faces teams that attack the rim less frequently or when Murray plays alongside more traditional rim protectors.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Murray's 60% under rate and positive ROI on unders reflects his limited shot-blocking role in Portland's system despite his size suggesting otherwise. The key edge lies in the disconnect between positional expectations and actual production patterns. Target games where Murray faces teams with strong perimeter offenses that don't challenge the rim frequently. Main risk is small sample variance and potential role changes as the season progresses.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-11 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-05 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-18 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Kris Murray's Blocks prop record all games?
Kris Murray's blocks prop record in all games stands at 4-6-0 over/under, hitting the under 60% of the time. His under bets have generated a positive 14.6% ROI while overs show a -23.6% loss, indicating consistent value on the under side.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Kris Murray Blocks all games?
Bet under on Kris Murray's blocks props. The 60% under hit rate and positive ROI demonstrate clear value, while his exact 0.5 average suggests the line may be inflated based on positional expectations rather than actual production patterns.
What's Kris Murray's average Blocks all games?
Kris Murray averages exactly 0.5 blocks per game, matching the standard 0.5 line perfectly. This neutral differential masks the underlying trend where he fails to reach the line 60% of the time, creating value on under bets.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Murray's blocks unders when Portland faces teams with strong perimeter offenses that don't attack the rim frequently. His longest under streak of four games suggests sustained periods without blocks are common in his current defensive role.