Kris Dunn's three-pointers made prop on one day rest presents a compelling over opportunity, hitting at a 61.5% rate (8-5 record) with +17.5% ROI. His 0.92 average significantly exceeds the typical 0.5 line, creating consistent value for sharp bettors willing to target this specific rest situation.
Expert Analysis
The numbers tell a clear story about Kris Dunn's three-point shooting when operating on one day rest. His 0.92 average represents an 84% premium over the standard 0.5 line, suggesting books haven't fully adjusted to his elevated shooting frequency in this specific scenario. The +0.4 differential between his average and the line creates mathematical value that compounds over time, evidenced by the healthy +17.5% ROI on overs. What makes this trend particularly intriguing is Dunn's role transformation with the Jazz, where he's been utilized more as a floor-spacing guard rather than purely a defensive specialist. The one-day rest factor likely allows him to maintain better shooting mechanics and confidence, as fatigue often affects perimeter shooting more than other statistical categories. His longest over streak of five games demonstrates the sustainability of this pattern, while the relatively short under streaks (maximum of two) suggest quick bounce-back ability. The 13-game sample size provides enough data to identify a legitimate edge without being so large that regression becomes inevitable. However, bettors should monitor his role and minutes, as coaching changes or lineup adjustments could impact his three-point attempt frequency and subsequently affect this prop's value.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. The 61.5% hit rate combined with the significant line differential creates legitimate value on Kris Dunn's three-pointers made prop when he's on one day rest. Target this spot when he's confirmed in the rotation with 20+ minutes projected, as his elevated attempt rate in this rest scenario consistently pushes him over the standard 0.5 line. Primary risk involves potential lineup changes or reduced playing time that could limit his shooting opportunities.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 13 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-02-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-08 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-06 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 3.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-20 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-08 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-05 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
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Favorite vs Underdog
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Kris Dunn's 3-Pointers Made prop record 1 day rest?
Kris Dunn's three-pointers made prop on one day rest shows an 8-5 over record (61.5% hit rate) across 13 games from January to February 2024, generating +17.5% ROI for over bettors during this specific rest scenario.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Kris Dunn 3-Pointers Made 1 day rest?
Bet the over on Kris Dunn's three-pointers made when he has one day rest. His 0.92 average significantly exceeds the typical 0.5 line, creating consistent value with a proven 61.5% success rate and positive ROI track record.
What's Kris Dunn's average 3-Pointers Made 1 day rest?
Kris Dunn averages 0.92 three-pointers made on one day rest, which is 0.4 makes above the standard 0.5 line. This 84% premium over the betting line creates substantial mathematical value for over bettors in this specific situation.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Kris Dunn's three-pointers made props specifically when he has one day rest and is projected for 20+ minutes. Avoid when he's dealing with lineup uncertainty or reduced role, as attempt frequency drives this prop's success rate.