Kris Dunn's three-point prop presents a classic trap with his 0.9 average significantly exceeding the typical 0.5 line, yet producing a dead-even 5-5 record over his last 10 games. The current three-game under streak and negative ROI on both sides suggest a volatile, unpredictable market best avoided.
Expert Analysis
Dunn's three-point shooting represents one of the most deceptive props in the market, where surface-level analysis fails catastrophically. His 0.9 average over 10 games creates an illusion of value against the standard 0.5 line, but the 50% hit rate reveals the harsh reality of variance in low-volume shooting. As a defensive-minded guard averaging just 19.2 minutes per game, Dunn's three-point attempts are highly situational and game-script dependent. The negative ROI on both sides (-4.5%) indicates efficient market pricing that's nearly impossible to beat consistently. His current three-game under streak highlights the binary nature of this prop – when Dunn doesn't get early looks or the Jazz build large leads, he simply doesn't hunt threes. The lack of split data compounds the challenge, as we can't identify favorable matchups or situations. Utah's pace and Dunn's role as a complementary piece make his three-point volume entirely dependent on game flow, opponent defensive schemes, and rotation patterns that change nightly. This creates a coin-flip scenario disguised as statistical advantage.
Betting Verdict
PASS with HIGH confidence. Despite Dunn averaging 0.9 threes against a 0.5 line, the perfect 50% hit rate and negative ROI on both sides expose this as a market trap. The three-game under streak and lack of predictable patterns make this purely variance-driven. Save your bankroll for props with clearer edges and more sustainable trends.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-02-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-08 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-06 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-04 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-30 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 3.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Kris Dunn's 3-Pointers Made prop record last 10 games?
Dunn has gone 5-5 on his three-point props over the last 10 games, hitting exactly 50% of overs. He's averaging 0.9 made threes per game against the typical 0.5 line, but the even split shows how variance dominates low-volume shooting props.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Kris Dunn 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?
Pass on both sides. The 50% hit rate despite a significant average-to-line differential proves this market is efficiently priced. The negative ROI on both overs and unders makes this a losing proposition regardless of which side you choose.
What's Kris Dunn's average 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?
Dunn averages 0.9 made threes over his last 10 games, which is 0.4 above the standard 0.5 line. However, this apparent edge has produced only a 50% over rate, proving that averages can be misleading in low-volume props.
How reliable is this trend?
Avoid Dunn's three-point props entirely. The lack of predictable patterns, situational role, and efficient market pricing make timing irrelevant. Focus on players with higher volume and more consistent usage patterns for better long-term profitability.