Bet OVER
6-4 O/U Record
60.0% Over Rate
1.5u Units Won
+14.6% ROI
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Kris Dunn has hit the over on his three-pointers made prop in 60% of away games this season, averaging 1.0 makes against a typical 0.5 line. The +0.5 differential and +14.6% ROI on overs suggests consistent value, though the small sample size demands caution when backing this trend.

Expert Analysis

Dunn's away three-point success stems from his expanded role as Utah's primary backup guard, where increased minutes and offensive responsibility naturally lead to more attempts. The 1.0 average against 0.5 lines creates immediate mathematical value, but the underlying mechanics matter more than raw percentages. Road environments often force role players like Dunn into more aggressive offensive postures as teams chase points, particularly when Utah falls behind early. His 60% over rate isn't just statistical noise—it reflects legitimate usage patterns where away games demand more perimeter shooting from secondary options. However, this trend carries regression risk given Dunn's career-long three-point inconsistency and Utah's evolving rotation. The sample size of 10 games, while meaningful for recent form, doesn't establish long-term reliability. Dunn's shooting mechanics remain fundamentally unchanged, and his career 32.1% three-point percentage suggests these makes often come in bunches rather than steady production. The +14.6% ROI on overs looks attractive, but the corresponding -23.6% under ROI warns against chasing this trend blindly. Road scheduling factors, opponent pace, and game script heavily influence whether Dunn sees the minutes and shot attempts necessary to clear even modest three-point totals.

Betting Verdict

LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. The 1.0 average against 0.5 lines provides clear mathematical edge, and Dunn's expanded away role supports continued three-point attempts. Target games where Utah faces faster-paced opponents or projects to trail, forcing more perimeter shooting. Primary risk remains Dunn's career inconsistency and potential rotation changes that could limit his minutes and opportunities.

6 OVERS (60.0%)
4 UNDERS
0% 50% breakeven 100%

Performance vs Line

Game Log (Last 10 Games)

Date Opp Line Actual +/- Result
2024-02-27 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-02-08 OPP 0.5 2.0 +1.5 OVER
2024-01-30 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-01-29 OPP 0.5 3.0 +2.5 OVER
2024-01-27 OPP 0.5 1.0 +0.5 OVER
2024-01-25 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-01-23 OPP 0.5 2.0 +1.5 OVER
2024-01-20 OPP 0.5 1.0 +0.5 OVER
2024-01-08 OPP 0.5 1.0 +0.5 OVER
2024-01-05 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER

Key Splits

Home vs Away

Home 50.0% Over
Away 60.0% Over

Favorite vs Underdog

Favorite 50.0% Over
Underdog 50.0% Over

Recent Trend

Last 5 60.0% Over
Last 10 60.0% Over

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Kris Dunn's 3-Pointers Made prop record away games?

Kris Dunn's three-pointers made prop has gone over in 6 of 10 away games (60% rate) this season, with 4 unders. He's averaging 1.0 makes per road game against typical 0.5 lines, creating a +0.5 differential that favors over bettors.

Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Kris Dunn 3-Pointers Made away games?

Lean over on Dunn's three-pointers made in away games. His 1.0 average doubles the standard 0.5 line, and road environments increase his offensive usage. Target games against faster-paced teams where Utah may need more perimeter shooting from role players.

What's Kris Dunn's average 3-Pointers Made away games?

Dunn averages 1.0 three-pointers made in away games, compared to the typical 0.5 betting line. This +0.5 differential creates immediate mathematical value for over bettors, though his career inconsistency from deep remains a concern for long-term trends.

How reliable is this trend?

Target Dunn's three-point props in away games against high-pace opponents where Utah projects to trail. These scenarios maximize his minutes and shot attempts. Avoid back-to-back situations or games where Utah's rotation might limit his playing time significantly.

Methodology: This analysis covers 10 games from 2024-01-05 to 2024-02-27. O/U results use closing prop lines. ROI assumes -110 juice. Pushes excluded from percentages.